**Brandon Nakashima enters the US Open first-round matchup against Sebastian Baez as the clear market favorite, driven by superior hard-court results and ranking.** Nakashima, ranked near No. 17-22, arrives with strong recent hard-court form after reaching the Cincinnati semifinals (including wins over Medvedev and Fritz) and posting a 31-17 record in 2026. Baez, around No. 50 and a clay-court specialist with a 33-22 mark, has struggled on faster surfaces, including an early Cincinnati exit and limited hard-court success this season. Their only prior meeting saw Nakashima win in straight sets on grass at Wimbledon 2024. The hard-court setting at Flushing Meadows amplifies Nakashima’s serve and baseline edge while highlighting Baez’s historical difficulties away from clay, shaping the current trader consensus around the American’s implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2d 6h
This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Sebastian Baez.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Brandon Nakashima.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In the upcoming US Open ATP singles match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez, scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final set score of the Brandon Nakashima vs. Sebastian Baez match.
This match is played in a best-of-5-sets format. The possible outcomes are 3-0, 3-1, “Not Completed”, and 3-2 in either direction.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed' regardless of the set score at the time.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 37. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the match been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Nakashima” if Brandon Nakashima wins set 2. It will resolve to “Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins set 2.
If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Nakashima" if Brandon Nakashima wins by 2 or more sets than Sebastian Baez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Baez."
If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Brandon Nakashima can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Baez."
If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Nakashima” if Brandon Nakashima wins the first set. It will resolve to “Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.This market will resolve to "Nakashima" if Brandon Nakashima wins 6.5 or more total games than Sebastian Baez in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Baez".
Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the match ends at a point where Brandon Nakashima could no longer have finished 6.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Baez".
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 4, and to "Under" otherwise. A set counts as played once it has begun, even if it is not played to completion. A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If a player retires, withdraws, is defaulted, or is disqualified, or the match otherwise begins but is not completed, this market will resolve based on any outcome that was already unequivocally determined at the time play stopped. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the match been played to completion using the minimum number of additional sets required. For example, for a line of 2.5, if play stops with the players at one set each, completing the match would have required at least one additional set, resulting in at least 3 sets played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If neither outcome was already determined at the time play stopped, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled, or has not been completed by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless an outcome was already unequivocally determined as described above.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Nakashima” if Brandon Nakashima wins set 3. It will resolve to “Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins set 3.
If the match begins but set 3 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 3 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Nakashima" if Brandon Nakashima wins by 3 or more sets than Sebastian Baez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Baez."
If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Brandon Nakashima can no longer win by 3 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Baez."
If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 39. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the match been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 5, and to "Under" otherwise. A set counts as played once it has begun, even if it is not played to completion. A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If a player retires, withdraws, is defaulted, or is disqualified, or the match otherwise begins but is not completed, this market will resolve based on any outcome that was already unequivocally determined at the time play stopped. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the match been played to completion using the minimum number of additional sets required. For example, for a line of 2.5, if play stops with the players at one set each, completing the match would have required at least one additional set, resulting in at least 3 sets played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If neither outcome was already determined at the time play stopped, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled, or has not been completed by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless an outcome was already unequivocally determined as described above.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Nakashima” if Brandon Nakashima wins set 4. It will resolve to “Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins set 4.
If the match begins but set 4 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 4 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 41. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the match been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 3 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 3 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 3 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 3 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 3 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 3 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 3 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 3 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 3 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 3 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 3 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 3 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 3 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 3 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 3 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 4 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 4 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 4 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 4 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 4 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 4 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 4 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 4 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 4 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 4 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 4 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 4 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 4 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 4 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 4 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.**Brandon Nakashima enters the US Open first-round matchup against Sebastian Baez as the clear market favorite, driven by superior hard-court results and ranking.** Nakashima, ranked near No. 17-22, arrives with strong recent hard-court form after reaching the Cincinnati semifinals (including wins over Medvedev and Fritz) and posting a 31-17 record in 2026. Baez, around No. 50 and a clay-court specialist with a 33-22 mark, has struggled on faster surfaces, including an early Cincinnati exit and limited hard-court success this season. Their only prior meeting saw Nakashima win in straight sets on grass at Wimbledon 2024. The hard-court setting at Flushing Meadows amplifies Nakashima’s serve and baseline edge while highlighting Baez’s historical difficulties away from clay, shaping the current trader consensus around the American’s implied probability.
This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Sebastian Baez.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Brandon Nakashima.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Sebastian Baez.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Brandon Nakashima.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volume
$110End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...2d 6h
This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Sebastian Baez.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Brandon Nakashima.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In the upcoming US Open ATP singles match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez, scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final set score of the Brandon Nakashima vs. Sebastian Baez match.
This match is played in a best-of-5-sets format. The possible outcomes are 3-0, 3-1, “Not Completed”, and 3-2 in either direction.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed' regardless of the set score at the time.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 37. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the match been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Nakashima” if Brandon Nakashima wins set 2. It will resolve to “Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins set 2.
If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Nakashima" if Brandon Nakashima wins by 2 or more sets than Sebastian Baez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Baez."
If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Brandon Nakashima can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Baez."
If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Nakashima” if Brandon Nakashima wins the first set. It will resolve to “Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.This market will resolve to "Nakashima" if Brandon Nakashima wins 6.5 or more total games than Sebastian Baez in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Baez".
Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the match ends at a point where Brandon Nakashima could no longer have finished 6.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Baez".
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 4, and to "Under" otherwise. A set counts as played once it has begun, even if it is not played to completion. A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If a player retires, withdraws, is defaulted, or is disqualified, or the match otherwise begins but is not completed, this market will resolve based on any outcome that was already unequivocally determined at the time play stopped. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the match been played to completion using the minimum number of additional sets required. For example, for a line of 2.5, if play stops with the players at one set each, completing the match would have required at least one additional set, resulting in at least 3 sets played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If neither outcome was already determined at the time play stopped, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled, or has not been completed by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless an outcome was already unequivocally determined as described above.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Nakashima” if Brandon Nakashima wins set 3. It will resolve to “Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins set 3.
If the match begins but set 3 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 3 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Nakashima" if Brandon Nakashima wins by 3 or more sets than Sebastian Baez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Baez."
If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Brandon Nakashima can no longer win by 3 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Baez."
If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 39. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the match been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 5, and to "Under" otherwise. A set counts as played once it has begun, even if it is not played to completion. A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If a player retires, withdraws, is defaulted, or is disqualified, or the match otherwise begins but is not completed, this market will resolve based on any outcome that was already unequivocally determined at the time play stopped. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the match been played to completion using the minimum number of additional sets required. For example, for a line of 2.5, if play stops with the players at one set each, completing the match would have required at least one additional set, resulting in at least 3 sets played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If neither outcome was already determined at the time play stopped, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled, or has not been completed by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless an outcome was already unequivocally determined as described above.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Nakashima” if Brandon Nakashima wins set 4. It will resolve to “Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins set 4.
If the match begins but set 4 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 4 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 41. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the match been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 3 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 3 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 3 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 3 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 3 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 3 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 3 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 3 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 3 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 3 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 3 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 3 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 3 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 3 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 3 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 4 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 4 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 4 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 4 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 4 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 4 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 4 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 4 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 4 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 4 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 4 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 4 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 4 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the set been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 4 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 4 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.**Brandon Nakashima enters the US Open first-round matchup against Sebastian Baez as the clear market favorite, driven by superior hard-court results and ranking.** Nakashima, ranked near No. 17-22, arrives with strong recent hard-court form after reaching the Cincinnati semifinals (including wins over Medvedev and Fritz) and posting a 31-17 record in 2026. Baez, around No. 50 and a clay-court specialist with a 33-22 mark, has struggled on faster surfaces, including an early Cincinnati exit and limited hard-court success this season. Their only prior meeting saw Nakashima win in straight sets on grass at Wimbledon 2024. The hard-court setting at Flushing Meadows amplifies Nakashima’s serve and baseline edge while highlighting Baez’s historical difficulties away from clay, shaping the current trader consensus around the American’s implied probability.
This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Sebastian Baez.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Brandon Nakashima.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Sebastian Baez.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Brandon Nakashima.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volume
$110End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...**Brandon Nakashima enters the US Open first-round matchup against Sebastian Baez as the clear market favorite, driven by superior hard-court results and ranking.** Nakashima, ranked near No. 17-22, arrives with strong recent hard-court form after reaching the Cincinnati semifinals (including wins over Medvedev and Fritz) and posting a 31-17 record in 2026. Baez, around No. 50 and a clay-court specialist with a 33-22 mark, has struggled on faster surfaces, including an early Cincinnati exit and limited hard-court success this season. Their only prior meeting saw Nakashima win in straight sets on grass at Wimbledon 2024. The hard-court setting at Flushing Meadows amplifies Nakashima’s serve and baseline edge while highlighting Baez’s historical difficulties away from clay, shaping the current trader consensus around the American’s implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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