Vancouver Whitecaps FC hold the highest implied probability at 24.5% for 2026 MLS Cup runner-up amid a tightly bunched field, driven by their Western Conference lead (40 points, +27 goal difference after 20 matches) and consistent results since the World Cup break. Nashville SC’s Eastern dominance (49 points from 21 games) places them second at 17%, while Inter Miami CF (second in the East at 39 points) sits at 15.5% following a recent coaching shift to Kily González and ongoing roster adjustments. With roughly 12-14 regular-season games left for most clubs and playoffs still featuring wide-open seeding battles across both conferences, trader consensus reflects MLS parity, variable late-summer form, and the absence of a clear prohibitive favorite for a finals appearance. Roster moves and injury management in the final transfer window window will likely shape further shifts before November’s postseason.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVancouver Whitecaps FC 25%
Nashville SC 17%
Inter Miami CF 16%
Chicago Fire FC 12%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
25%
Nashville SC
17%
Inter Miami CF
16%
Chicago Fire FC
12%
Los Angeles FC
12%
St. Louis City SC
10%
Charlotte FC
10%
Houston Dynamo FC
9%
FC Dallas
7%
FC Cincinnati
7%
Colorado Rapids
2%
New England Revolution
14%
New York Red Bulls
2%
Portland Timbers
2%
San Jose Earthquakes
2%
Sporting Kansas City
2%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Austin FC
7%
CF Montréal
1%
Columbus Crew
1%
D.C. United
1%
LA Galaxy
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
New York City FC
12%
Orlando City SC
1%
Philadelphia Union
1%
Real Salt Lake
1%
San Diego FC
1%
Seattle Sounders FC
1%
Toronto FC
1%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 25%
Nashville SC 17%
Inter Miami CF 16%
Chicago Fire FC 12%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
25%
Nashville SC
17%
Inter Miami CF
16%
Chicago Fire FC
12%
Los Angeles FC
12%
St. Louis City SC
10%
Charlotte FC
10%
Houston Dynamo FC
9%
FC Dallas
7%
FC Cincinnati
7%
Colorado Rapids
2%
New England Revolution
14%
New York Red Bulls
2%
Portland Timbers
2%
San Jose Earthquakes
2%
Sporting Kansas City
2%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Austin FC
7%
CF Montréal
1%
Columbus Crew
1%
D.C. United
1%
LA Galaxy
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
New York City FC
12%
Orlando City SC
1%
Philadelphia Union
1%
Real Salt Lake
1%
San Diego FC
1%
Seattle Sounders FC
1%
Toronto FC
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of MLS for the 2026 season per the rules of MLS (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the MLS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of MLS for the 2026 season per the rules of MLS (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the MLS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vancouver Whitecaps FC hold the highest implied probability at 24.5% for 2026 MLS Cup runner-up amid a tightly bunched field, driven by their Western Conference lead (40 points, +27 goal difference after 20 matches) and consistent results since the World Cup break. Nashville SC’s Eastern dominance (49 points from 21 games) places them second at 17%, while Inter Miami CF (second in the East at 39 points) sits at 15.5% following a recent coaching shift to Kily González and ongoing roster adjustments. With roughly 12-14 regular-season games left for most clubs and playoffs still featuring wide-open seeding battles across both conferences, trader consensus reflects MLS parity, variable late-summer form, and the absence of a clear prohibitive favorite for a finals appearance. Roster moves and injury management in the final transfer window window will likely shape further shifts before November’s postseason.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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