The 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open section in Samarkand features a tightly bunched leaderboard among India, the United States, and host Uzbekistan, with average ratings and board orders creating narrow margins across 11 Swiss-system rounds. India defends its 2024 Budapest title with Arjun Erigaisi leading, followed by Praggnanandhaa, Nihal Sarin, world champion Gukesh on board four, and Vidit Gujrathi, leveraging recent individual momentum including Praggnanandhaa's Grand Chess Tour win. The United States tops seeding via Fabiano Caruana, Wesley So, Hans Niemann's Olympiad debut, Levon Aronian, and Awonder Liang under captain John Donaldson. Uzbekistan reorders with Javokhir Sindarov ahead of Nodirbek Abdusattorov for home advantage. Depth across these squads, plus competitive fields from China and Germany, sustains the even trader consensus on outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIndia 27%
United States of America 25%
Uzbekistan 23%
China 7%
India
27%
United States of America
25%
Uzbekistan
23%
China
7%
Germany
4%
Azerbaijan
4%
Armenia
4%
Ukraine
3%
Netherlands
3%
England
3%
Georgia
3%
Hungary
3%
Spain
2%
Poland
2%
Bulgaria
1%
Norway
1%
Turkmenistan
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Turkiye
<1%
Vietnam
<1%
France
<1%
Iran
<1%
Argentina
<1%
Austria
<1%
Brazil
<1%
Canada
<1%
Chile
<1%
Colombia
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Greece
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Mexico
<1%
Romania
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
India 27%
United States of America 25%
Uzbekistan 23%
China 7%
India
27%
United States of America
25%
Uzbekistan
23%
China
7%
Germany
4%
Azerbaijan
4%
Armenia
4%
Ukraine
3%
Netherlands
3%
England
3%
Georgia
3%
Hungary
3%
Spain
2%
Poland
2%
Bulgaria
1%
Norway
1%
Turkmenistan
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Turkiye
<1%
Vietnam
<1%
France
<1%
Iran
<1%
Argentina
<1%
Austria
<1%
Brazil
<1%
Canada
<1%
Chile
<1%
Colombia
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Greece
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Mexico
<1%
Romania
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open section in Samarkand features a tightly bunched leaderboard among India, the United States, and host Uzbekistan, with average ratings and board orders creating narrow margins across 11 Swiss-system rounds. India defends its 2024 Budapest title with Arjun Erigaisi leading, followed by Praggnanandhaa, Nihal Sarin, world champion Gukesh on board four, and Vidit Gujrathi, leveraging recent individual momentum including Praggnanandhaa's Grand Chess Tour win. The United States tops seeding via Fabiano Caruana, Wesley So, Hans Niemann's Olympiad debut, Levon Aronian, and Awonder Liang under captain John Donaldson. Uzbekistan reorders with Javokhir Sindarov ahead of Nodirbek Abdusattorov for home advantage. Depth across these squads, plus competitive fields from China and Germany, sustains the even trader consensus on outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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