The 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open section in Samarkand features a tight contest among the top seeds, with trader pricing reflecting narrow gaps in average team ratings and roster depth after recent lineup confirmations. Defending champion India fields a deep squad led by Arjun Erigaisi and Praggnanandhaa, while the United States tops the seed list with Fabiano Caruana, Wesley So, and Hans Niemann. Host Uzbekistan benefits from home support and a stacked order including Javokhir Sindarov and Nodirbek Abdusattorov, creating a three-way dynamic in the 11-round Swiss format. China and Germany trail as longer shots amid strong but slightly less balanced lineups, with board-order flexibility and individual form swings across the field sustaining the bunched probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIndia 27%
United States of America 25%
Uzbekistan 23%
China 7%
India
27%
United States of America
25%
Uzbekistan
23%
China
7%
Germany
4%
Azerbaijan
4%
Armenia
4%
Ukraine
3%
Netherlands
3%
England
3%
Georgia
3%
Hungary
3%
Spain
2%
Poland
2%
Bulgaria
1%
Norway
1%
Turkmenistan
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Turkiye
<1%
Vietnam
<1%
France
<1%
Iran
<1%
Argentina
<1%
Austria
<1%
Brazil
<1%
Canada
<1%
Chile
<1%
Colombia
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Greece
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Mexico
<1%
Romania
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
India 27%
United States of America 25%
Uzbekistan 23%
China 7%
India
27%
United States of America
25%
Uzbekistan
23%
China
7%
Germany
4%
Azerbaijan
4%
Armenia
4%
Ukraine
3%
Netherlands
3%
England
3%
Georgia
3%
Hungary
3%
Spain
2%
Poland
2%
Bulgaria
1%
Norway
1%
Turkmenistan
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Turkiye
<1%
Vietnam
<1%
France
<1%
Iran
<1%
Argentina
<1%
Austria
<1%
Brazil
<1%
Canada
<1%
Chile
<1%
Colombia
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Greece
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Mexico
<1%
Romania
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open section in Samarkand features a tight contest among the top seeds, with trader pricing reflecting narrow gaps in average team ratings and roster depth after recent lineup confirmations. Defending champion India fields a deep squad led by Arjun Erigaisi and Praggnanandhaa, while the United States tops the seed list with Fabiano Caruana, Wesley So, and Hans Niemann. Host Uzbekistan benefits from home support and a stacked order including Javokhir Sindarov and Nodirbek Abdusattorov, creating a three-way dynamic in the 11-round Swiss format. China and Germany trail as longer shots amid strong but slightly less balanced lineups, with board-order flexibility and individual form swings across the field sustaining the bunched probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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