Rafael Jodar enters the 2026 US Open first-round matchup against Thanasi Kokkinakis as the clear market favorite, backed by his rapid rise to a career-high ATP ranking near No. 11 and strong hard-court form during the North American swing. The 19-year-old Spaniard posted deep runs at the Canadian Open (semifinals) and Cincinnati (round of 16), including victories over players such as Lorenzo Musetti, Jiri Lehecka, and Arthur Fils, while reaching the Washington final earlier in the summer. Kokkinakis, ranked No. 412 at age 30, has shown limited recent success with early exits and retirements in Toronto and Cincinnati, reflecting ongoing challenges with consistency and form. The hard-court setting and Jodar’s superior recent results and ranking create a wide implied-probability gap, though Kokkinakis’s experience offers limited upset potential in a Grand Slam opener.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAll Sports
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Rafael Jodar – Thanasi Kokkinakis
Moneyline
$250 Vol.
Game Spread
$0 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Thanasi Kokkinakis.
This market will resolve to 'Thanasi Kokkinakis' if Thanasi Kokkinakis advances against Rafael Jodar.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Rafael Jodar – Thanasi Kokkinakis
Moneyline
$250 Vol.
Game Spread
$0 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Thanasi Kokkinakis.
This market will resolve to 'Thanasi Kokkinakis' if Thanasi Kokkinakis advances against Rafael Jodar.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Rafael Jodar enters the 2026 US Open first-round matchup against Thanasi Kokkinakis as the clear market favorite, backed by his rapid rise to a career-high ATP ranking near No. 11 and strong hard-court form during the North American swing. The 19-year-old Spaniard posted deep runs at the Canadian Open (semifinals) and Cincinnati (round of 16), including victories over players such as Lorenzo Musetti, Jiri Lehecka, and Arthur Fils, while reaching the Washington final earlier in the summer. Kokkinakis, ranked No. 412 at age 30, has shown limited recent success with early exits and retirements in Toronto and Cincinnati, reflecting ongoing challenges with consistency and form. The hard-court setting and Jodar’s superior recent results and ranking create a wide implied-probability gap, though Kokkinakis’s experience offers limited upset potential in a Grand Slam opener.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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