Rafael Jodar, the higher-ranked 19-year-old on a four-match winning streak through the Montreal draw, faces Brandon Nakashima in the National Bank Open semifinals on outdoor hard courts. Jodar’s aggressive baseline game and recent form have elevated his implied probability, while Nakashima, ranked near 30 and also riding strong recent results including a quarterfinal win, brings proven hard-court consistency and experience. Both players lack extensive head-to-head history, making current tournament momentum and surface-specific records central to trader assessments of this first-time semifinal clash.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAll Sports
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Rafael Jodar – Brandon Nakashima
Moneyline
$2.2M Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Brandon Nakashima.
This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Rafael Jodar.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Rafael Jodar – Brandon Nakashima
Moneyline
$2.2M Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Brandon Nakashima.
This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Rafael Jodar.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Rafael Jodar, the higher-ranked 19-year-old on a four-match winning streak through the Montreal draw, faces Brandon Nakashima in the National Bank Open semifinals on outdoor hard courts. Jodar’s aggressive baseline game and recent form have elevated his implied probability, while Nakashima, ranked near 30 and also riding strong recent results including a quarterfinal win, brings proven hard-court consistency and experience. Both players lack extensive head-to-head history, making current tournament momentum and surface-specific records central to trader assessments of this first-time semifinal clash.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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