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icon for Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?

Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?

icon for Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?

Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?

NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$7,039 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$2,911 Vol.

2%

July 31, 2027

$182 Vol.

26%

December 31, 2027

$3,945 Vol.

87%

If the Bayeux Tapestry enters France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, entrance is defined as any portion of the Bayeux Tapestry physically entering the terrestrial territory of France. Whether or not it enters French airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. This market will remain open for seven days after the specified date to allow time for confirmation of the Tapestry's entrance into France. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Bayeux Tapestry, a fragile 11th-century embroidery depicting the 1066 Norman Conquest, departed its longtime home in Bayeux, France, under tight security in July 2026 for an unprecedented loan to the British Museum. It arrived safely in London that month and will be on public display from September 2026 through July 2027 as part of a bilateral cultural exchange that also sends UK artifacts like Sutton Hoo treasures to France. The nine-month loan, agreed during a 2025 state visit between Presidents Macron and Prime Minister Starmer, coincides with major renovations at the Bayeux museum, which is closed until late 2027. Official terms require the tapestry’s return to France no later than 1 September 2027 for reinstallation, with the move viewed as a symbol of improved post-Brexit relations despite ongoing expert concerns about vibration risks during transport.

If the Bayeux Tapestry enters France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, entrance is defined as any portion of the Bayeux Tapestry physically entering the terrestrial territory of France. Whether or not it enters French airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

This market will remain open for seven days after the specified date to allow time for confirmation of the Tapestry's entrance into France.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,039
End Date
Jan 1, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
If the Bayeux Tapestry enters France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, entrance is defined as any portion of the Bayeux Tapestry physically entering the terrestrial territory of France. Whether or not it enters French airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. This market will remain open for seven days after the specified date to allow time for confirmation of the Tapestry's entrance into France. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the Bayeux Tapestry enters France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, entrance is defined as any portion of the Bayeux Tapestry physically entering the terrestrial territory of France. Whether or not it enters French airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. This market will remain open for seven days after the specified date to allow time for confirmation of the Tapestry's entrance into France. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Bayeux Tapestry, a fragile 11th-century embroidery depicting the 1066 Norman Conquest, departed its longtime home in Bayeux, France, under tight security in July 2026 for an unprecedented loan to the British Museum. It arrived safely in London that month and will be on public display from September 2026 through July 2027 as part of a bilateral cultural exchange that also sends UK artifacts like Sutton Hoo treasures to France. The nine-month loan, agreed during a 2025 state visit between Presidents Macron and Prime Minister Starmer, coincides with major renovations at the Bayeux museum, which is closed until late 2027. Official terms require the tapestry’s return to France no later than 1 September 2027 for reinstallation, with the move viewed as a symbol of improved post-Brexit relations despite ongoing expert concerns about vibration risks during transport.

If the Bayeux Tapestry enters France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, entrance is defined as any portion of the Bayeux Tapestry physically entering the terrestrial territory of France. Whether or not it enters French airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

This market will remain open for seven days after the specified date to allow time for confirmation of the Tapestry's entrance into France.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,039
End Date
Jan 1, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
If the Bayeux Tapestry enters France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, entrance is defined as any portion of the Bayeux Tapestry physically entering the terrestrial territory of France. Whether or not it enters French airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. This market will remain open for seven days after the specified date to allow time for confirmation of the Tapestry's entrance into France. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31, 2027" at 87%, followed by "July 31, 2027" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?" is "December 31, 2027" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "July 31, 2027" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.