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icon for Indiana lions in custody by Friday noon ET?

Indiana lions in custody by Friday noon ET?

icon for Indiana lions in custody by Friday noon ET?

Indiana lions in custody by Friday noon ET?

6% chance
Polymarket
NEW
6% chance
Polymarket
NEW
On Thursday, August 27, 2026, the Madison County Sheriff's Department in Indiana received reports of a loose lion, and a drone operator told authorities they had confirmed sighting both an adult lion and a cub in a field. Sheriff's deputies and state police searched Hancock and Madison counties, but a roughly four-hour search using ground units and thermal drones did not locate the animals. You can read more about that here: https://wgntv.com/news/two-lions-are-on-the-loose-in-indiana-deputies-say/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the referenced adult lion and the cub are confirmed captured and placed into the custody of law enforcement or animal control by August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information from relevant law enforcement authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.The unverified Thursday sighting of a harnessed 300-pound lioness and cub in rural Madison County triggered a four-hour multi-agency search using ground teams and thermal drones, yet no animals were located and no licensed facilities reported missing big cats. This lack of corroboration, combined with the Big Cat Public Safety Act’s restrictions on private ownership and the animals’ presumed ability to remain hidden in dense crops, has produced overwhelming trader skepticism that capture can occur before the noon ET deadline today. With only hours remaining and no fresh credible reports emerging overnight, the market assigns just a 6% implied probability to a successful resolution. A sudden verified sighting leading to rapid tranquilization and custody remains the sole realistic path to a “Yes” outcome, though the narrow window makes such a development highly improbable.

On Thursday, August 27, 2026, the Madison County Sheriff's Department in Indiana received reports of a loose lion, and a drone operator told authorities they had confirmed sighting both an adult lion and a cub in a field. Sheriff's deputies and state police searched Hancock and Madison counties, but a roughly four-hour search using ground units and thermal drones did not locate the animals. You can read more about that here: https://wgntv.com/news/two-lions-are-on-the-loose-in-indiana-deputies-say/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the referenced adult lion and the cub are confirmed captured and placed into the custody of law enforcement or animal control by August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be information from relevant law enforcement authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,125
End Date
Aug 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On Thursday, August 27, 2026, the Madison County Sheriff's Department in Indiana received reports of a loose lion, and a drone operator told authorities they had confirmed sighting both an adult lion and a cub in a field. Sheriff's deputies and state police searched Hancock and Madison counties, but a roughly four-hour search using ground units and thermal drones did not locate the animals. You can read more about that here: https://wgntv.com/news/two-lions-are-on-the-loose-in-indiana-deputies-say/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the referenced adult lion and the cub are confirmed captured and placed into the custody of law enforcement or animal control by August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information from relevant law enforcement authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.
On Thursday, August 27, 2026, the Madison County Sheriff's Department in Indiana received reports of a loose lion, and a drone operator told authorities they had confirmed sighting both an adult lion and a cub in a field. Sheriff's deputies and state police searched Hancock and Madison counties, but a roughly four-hour search using ground units and thermal drones did not locate the animals. You can read more about that here: https://wgntv.com/news/two-lions-are-on-the-loose-in-indiana-deputies-say/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the referenced adult lion and the cub are confirmed captured and placed into the custody of law enforcement or animal control by August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information from relevant law enforcement authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.The unverified Thursday sighting of a harnessed 300-pound lioness and cub in rural Madison County triggered a four-hour multi-agency search using ground teams and thermal drones, yet no animals were located and no licensed facilities reported missing big cats. This lack of corroboration, combined with the Big Cat Public Safety Act’s restrictions on private ownership and the animals’ presumed ability to remain hidden in dense crops, has produced overwhelming trader skepticism that capture can occur before the noon ET deadline today. With only hours remaining and no fresh credible reports emerging overnight, the market assigns just a 6% implied probability to a successful resolution. A sudden verified sighting leading to rapid tranquilization and custody remains the sole realistic path to a “Yes” outcome, though the narrow window makes such a development highly improbable.

On Thursday, August 27, 2026, the Madison County Sheriff's Department in Indiana received reports of a loose lion, and a drone operator told authorities they had confirmed sighting both an adult lion and a cub in a field. Sheriff's deputies and state police searched Hancock and Madison counties, but a roughly four-hour search using ground units and thermal drones did not locate the animals. You can read more about that here: https://wgntv.com/news/two-lions-are-on-the-loose-in-indiana-deputies-say/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the referenced adult lion and the cub are confirmed captured and placed into the custody of law enforcement or animal control by August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be information from relevant law enforcement authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,125
End Date
Aug 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On Thursday, August 27, 2026, the Madison County Sheriff's Department in Indiana received reports of a loose lion, and a drone operator told authorities they had confirmed sighting both an adult lion and a cub in a field. Sheriff's deputies and state police searched Hancock and Madison counties, but a roughly four-hour search using ground units and thermal drones did not locate the animals. You can read more about that here: https://wgntv.com/news/two-lions-are-on-the-loose-in-indiana-deputies-say/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the referenced adult lion and the cub are confirmed captured and placed into the custody of law enforcement or animal control by August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information from relevant law enforcement authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Indiana lions in custody by Friday noon ET?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 6% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 6¢, the market collectively assigns a 6% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Indiana lions in custody by Friday noon ET?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Indiana lions in custody by Friday noon ET?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Indiana lions in custody by Friday noon ET?" is 6% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 6% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Indiana lions in custody by Friday noon ET?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.