Traders view Pete Crow-Armstrong as the clear 2026 NL MVP favorite at 59.9 percent implied probability due to his standout combination of power, speed, and Gold Glove-level defense for the Cubs this season. His consistent production in key offensive categories and defensive metrics has separated him from the pack amid the tight NL standings race. Shohei Ohtani sits second at 37.5 percent on the strength of his two-way impact and Dodgers contributions, keeping the outcome competitive. The long list of other contenders at 0.1 percent each signals the market consensus that late-season form, injury status, and team playoff positioning will determine the final outcome between these leaders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPete Crow-Armstrong 59.9%
Shohei Ohtani 38%
Juan Soto <1%
Fernando Tatis Jr. <1%
$1,283,866 Vol.
$1,283,866 Vol.
Pete Crow-Armstrong
60%
Shohei Ohtani
38%
Juan Soto
<1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
<1%
Mookie Betts
<1%
Bryce Harper
<1%
Kyle Tucker
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
<1%
Andy Pages
<1%
Corbin Carroll
<1%
Kyle Schwarber
<1%
James Wood
<1%
Jacob Misiorowski
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Otto Lopez
<1%
Matt Olson
<1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong 59.9%
Shohei Ohtani 38%
Juan Soto <1%
Fernando Tatis Jr. <1%
$1,283,866 Vol.
$1,283,866 Vol.
Pete Crow-Armstrong
60%
Shohei Ohtani
38%
Juan Soto
<1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
<1%
Mookie Betts
<1%
Bryce Harper
<1%
Kyle Tucker
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
<1%
Andy Pages
<1%
Corbin Carroll
<1%
Kyle Schwarber
<1%
James Wood
<1%
Jacob Misiorowski
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Otto Lopez
<1%
Matt Olson
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view Pete Crow-Armstrong as the clear 2026 NL MVP favorite at 59.9 percent implied probability due to his standout combination of power, speed, and Gold Glove-level defense for the Cubs this season. His consistent production in key offensive categories and defensive metrics has separated him from the pack amid the tight NL standings race. Shohei Ohtani sits second at 37.5 percent on the strength of his two-way impact and Dodgers contributions, keeping the outcome competitive. The long list of other contenders at 0.1 percent each signals the market consensus that late-season form, injury status, and team playoff positioning will determine the final outcome between these leaders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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