Nashville SC's commanding Supporters’ Shield lead with 49 points and a +26 goal differential through 21 matches has anchored trader sentiment, reflecting their consistent attacking output and defensive organization under recent management. Inter Miami CF trails at 39 points amid a recent winless stretch across competitions, though Lionel Messi’s ongoing production and roster additions like Casemiro sustain elevated implied probabilities near 20%. Vancouver Whitecaps FC’s 40-point Western Conference pace and +27 differential, fueled by high-scoring form and clean sheets, keep them competitive at 16%. The tight spread among the top three stems from MLS playoff volatility, where strong regular-season records can shift quickly due to injuries, rest, and knockout matchups, with Chicago Fire and LAFC further back but still in contention.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedInter Miami CF 21%
Nashville SC 18.0%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 16.3%
Los Angeles FC 10%
$19,786,960 Vol.
$19,786,960 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
21%
Nashville SC
18%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
16%
Los Angeles FC
10%
Chicago Fire FC
6%
Houston Dynamo FC
5%
FC Cincinnati
4%
FC Dallas
3%
New York City FC
2%
San Jose Earthquakes
2%
Charlotte FC
2%
New England Revolution
2%
New York Red Bulls
2%
Real Salt Lake
2%
Orlando City SC
1%
St. Louis City SC
1%
Colorado Rapids
1%
Columbus Crew
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
Seattle Sounders FC
1%
San Diego FC
1%
D.C. United
1%
Portland Timbers
<1%
Toronto FC
<1%
Atlanta United FC
<1%
LA Galaxy
<1%
Philadelphia Union
<1%
CF Montréal
<1%
Austin FC
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
Inter Miami CF 21%
Nashville SC 18.0%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 16.3%
Los Angeles FC 10%
$19,786,960 Vol.
$19,786,960 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
21%
Nashville SC
18%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
16%
Los Angeles FC
10%
Chicago Fire FC
6%
Houston Dynamo FC
5%
FC Cincinnati
4%
FC Dallas
3%
New York City FC
2%
San Jose Earthquakes
2%
Charlotte FC
2%
New England Revolution
2%
New York Red Bulls
2%
Real Salt Lake
2%
Orlando City SC
1%
St. Louis City SC
1%
Colorado Rapids
1%
Columbus Crew
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
Seattle Sounders FC
1%
San Diego FC
1%
D.C. United
1%
Portland Timbers
<1%
Toronto FC
<1%
Atlanta United FC
<1%
LA Galaxy
<1%
Philadelphia Union
<1%
CF Montréal
<1%
Austin FC
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nashville SC's commanding Supporters’ Shield lead with 49 points and a +26 goal differential through 21 matches has anchored trader sentiment, reflecting their consistent attacking output and defensive organization under recent management. Inter Miami CF trails at 39 points amid a recent winless stretch across competitions, though Lionel Messi’s ongoing production and roster additions like Casemiro sustain elevated implied probabilities near 20%. Vancouver Whitecaps FC’s 40-point Western Conference pace and +27 differential, fueled by high-scoring form and clean sheets, keep them competitive at 16%. The tight spread among the top three stems from MLS playoff volatility, where strong regular-season records can shift quickly due to injuries, rest, and knockout matchups, with Chicago Fire and LAFC further back but still in contention.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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