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Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

icon for MLS Cup Winner 2026
Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Inter Miami CF 21%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 17.1%

Nashville SC 16.3%

Los Angeles FC 10%

Polymarket

$19,792,341 Vol.

Inter Miami CF 21%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 17.1%

Nashville SC 16.3%

Los Angeles FC 10%

Polymarket

$19,792,341 Vol.

Inter Miami CF

$103,496 Vol.

21%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

$392,976 Vol.

17%

Nashville SC

$326,294 Vol.

16%

Los Angeles FC

$49,982 Vol.

10%

Chicago Fire FC

$252,188 Vol.

7%

Houston Dynamo FC

$484,330 Vol.

5%

FC Cincinnati

$1,586,125 Vol.

4%

FC Dallas

$92,864 Vol.

3%

New York City FC

$699,368 Vol.

2%

San Jose Earthquakes

$1,166,172 Vol.

2%

Charlotte FC

$2,027,043 Vol.

2%

New England Revolution

$62,629 Vol.

2%

New York Red Bulls

$610,560 Vol.

2%

Real Salt Lake

$2,948,654 Vol.

2%

Orlando City SC

$2,364,395 Vol.

1%

St. Louis City SC

$93,202 Vol.

1%

Columbus Crew

$3,113,846 Vol.

1%

Minnesota United FC

$480,305 Vol.

1%

Seattle Sounders FC

$865,541 Vol.

1%

Colorado Rapids

$140,735 Vol.

1%

San Diego FC

$1,220,841 Vol.

1%

D.C. United

$19,181 Vol.

1%

Portland Timbers

$104,912 Vol.

<1%

Toronto FC

$38,207 Vol.

<1%

Atlanta United FC

$102,601 Vol.

<1%

LA Galaxy

$24,467 Vol.

<1%

Philadelphia Union

$209,879 Vol.

<1%

Austin FC

$80,207 Vol.

<1%

CF Montréal

$62,775 Vol.

<1%

Sporting Kansas City

$68,565 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nashville SC’s league-leading 49 points and +26 goal difference from 21 matches, powered by an elite defense conceding just 17 goals, anchor its 16.3% implied probability alongside Vancouver Whitecaps’ 40 points and +27 goal difference atop the West. Inter Miami’s 39 points and attacking depth keep it at 20.5%, though recent results including a loss to Nashville highlight inconsistency. The bunched probabilities reflect MLS playoff volatility, where home-field advantage, late-season form, and injury resilience can shift outcomes quickly across a balanced field of contenders with strong underlying metrics. Traders price the Supporters’ Shield frontrunners highest while acknowledging that no team has separated decisively with roughly two-thirds of the regular season remaining.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$19,792,341
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nashville SC’s league-leading 49 points and +26 goal difference from 21 matches, powered by an elite defense conceding just 17 goals, anchor its 16.3% implied probability alongside Vancouver Whitecaps’ 40 points and +27 goal difference atop the West. Inter Miami’s 39 points and attacking depth keep it at 20.5%, though recent results including a loss to Nashville highlight inconsistency. The bunched probabilities reflect MLS playoff volatility, where home-field advantage, late-season form, and injury resilience can shift outcomes quickly across a balanced field of contenders with strong underlying metrics. Traders price the Supporters’ Shield frontrunners highest while acknowledging that no team has separated decisively with roughly two-thirds of the regular season remaining.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$19,792,341
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLS Cup Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Inter Miami CF" at 21%, followed by "Vancouver Whitecaps FC" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLS Cup Winner 2026" has generated $19.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLS Cup Winner 2026," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" is "Inter Miami CF" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vancouver Whitecaps FC" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.