The 2026 Heisman race sits in a tight cluster early in the college football season, with Brendan Sorsby holding the highest implied probability at 30% amid a deep field of Power conference quarterbacks. Notre Dame’s CJ Carr and Texas’ Arch Manning sit near the front of traditional odds boards thanks to strong 2025 production and high team expectations, while transfers like Miami’s Darian Mensah and Indiana’s Josh Hoover bring proven starting experience to contending rosters. Oregon’s Dante Moore, Ole Miss’ Trinidad Chambliss, and Ohio State’s Julian Sayin add further parity through returning production and favorable schedules. Wide receiver Jeremiah Smith stands out among non-quarterbacks on a loaded Buckeyes offense. Preseason uncertainty, combined with the historical tendency for early favorites to fade, sustains competitive market pricing across the top candidates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner
Jayden Maiava 16.8%
CJ Carr 11%
Arch Manning 10%
Darian Mensah 7%
Jayden Maiava
20%
CJ Carr
11%
Arch Manning
10%
Darian Mensah
7%
Julian Sayin
7%
Trinidad Chambliss
6%
Dante Moore
6%
Jeremiah Smith
6%
Josh Hoover
4%
Gunner Stockton
3%
Sam Leavitt
3%
Keelon Russell
2%
John Mateer
2%
Marcel Reed
2%
Malachi Toney
2%
LaNorris Sellers
2%
Will Hammond
2%
Bryce Underwood
2%
Demond Williams Jr.
2%
Austin Mack
1%
Byrum Brown
1%
Rocco Becht
1%
Bo Jackson
1%
Drew Mestemaker
1%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
1%
Kevin Jennings
1%
Ahmad Hardy
1%
Kewan Lacy
1%
Brendan Sorsby
29%
Jayden Maiava 16.8%
CJ Carr 11%
Arch Manning 10%
Darian Mensah 7%
Jayden Maiava
20%
CJ Carr
11%
Arch Manning
10%
Darian Mensah
7%
Julian Sayin
7%
Trinidad Chambliss
6%
Dante Moore
6%
Jeremiah Smith
6%
Josh Hoover
4%
Gunner Stockton
3%
Sam Leavitt
3%
Keelon Russell
2%
John Mateer
2%
Marcel Reed
2%
Malachi Toney
2%
LaNorris Sellers
2%
Will Hammond
2%
Bryce Underwood
2%
Demond Williams Jr.
2%
Austin Mack
1%
Byrum Brown
1%
Rocco Becht
1%
Bo Jackson
1%
Drew Mestemaker
1%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
1%
Kevin Jennings
1%
Ahmad Hardy
1%
Kewan Lacy
1%
Brendan Sorsby
29%
If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Heisman race sits in a tight cluster early in the college football season, with Brendan Sorsby holding the highest implied probability at 30% amid a deep field of Power conference quarterbacks. Notre Dame’s CJ Carr and Texas’ Arch Manning sit near the front of traditional odds boards thanks to strong 2025 production and high team expectations, while transfers like Miami’s Darian Mensah and Indiana’s Josh Hoover bring proven starting experience to contending rosters. Oregon’s Dante Moore, Ole Miss’ Trinidad Chambliss, and Ohio State’s Julian Sayin add further parity through returning production and favorable schedules. Wide receiver Jeremiah Smith stands out among non-quarterbacks on a loaded Buckeyes offense. Preseason uncertainty, combined with the historical tendency for early favorites to fade, sustains competitive market pricing across the top candidates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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