**The 2026 Heisman race remains exceptionally open entering the season, with trader probabilities reflecting a deep, competitive field of quarterbacks on high-profile teams and no clear frontrunner.** Preseason betting markets list Notre Dame’s CJ Carr as the slight favorite after his productive redshirt freshman campaign (2,741 passing yards, 24 touchdowns), followed closely by Texas QB Arch Manning, who rebounded late in 2025 with stronger efficiency and volume. Contenders such as Miami transfer Darian Mensah, Oregon’s Dante Moore, Ohio State’s Julian Sayin, Ole Miss’ Trinidad Chambliss, and wide receiver Jeremiah Smith sit in a tight cluster, supported by favorable team outlooks, transfer additions, and returning production. Recent form, roster changes, and schedule strength keep probabilities bunched, as historical patterns show preseason leaders frequently fade while late risers emerge through consistent stats and playoff contention. The wisdom of crowds in this market underscores the inherent uncertainty of individual awards tied to team success and late-season momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner
Will Hammond 45.5%
Bryce Underwood 43.0%
Gunner Stockton 40.0%
Demond Williams Jr. 39.0%
Will Hammond
45%
Bryce Underwood
43%
Gunner Stockton
40%
Demond Williams Jr.
39%
Kevin Jennings
39%
Malachi Toney
37%
Sam Leavitt
36%
Keelon Russell
34%
LaNorris Sellers
34%
Austin Mack
34%
Trinidad Chambliss
33%
Byrum Brown
33%
Rocco Becht
33%
Marcel Reed
31%
Bo Jackson
30%
Jeremiah Smith
28%
Josh Hoover
23%
CJ Carr
13%
Arch Manning
11%
Jayden Maiava
9%
Dante Moore
8%
Darian Mensah
7%
Julian Sayin
7%
John Mateer
22%
Drew Mestemaker
35%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
33%
Ahmad Hardy
32%
Brendan Sorsby
34%
Kewan Lacy
33%
Will Hammond 45.5%
Bryce Underwood 43.0%
Gunner Stockton 40.0%
Demond Williams Jr. 39.0%
Will Hammond
45%
Bryce Underwood
43%
Gunner Stockton
40%
Demond Williams Jr.
39%
Kevin Jennings
39%
Malachi Toney
37%
Sam Leavitt
36%
Keelon Russell
34%
LaNorris Sellers
34%
Austin Mack
34%
Trinidad Chambliss
33%
Byrum Brown
33%
Rocco Becht
33%
Marcel Reed
31%
Bo Jackson
30%
Jeremiah Smith
28%
Josh Hoover
23%
CJ Carr
13%
Arch Manning
11%
Jayden Maiava
9%
Dante Moore
8%
Darian Mensah
7%
Julian Sayin
7%
John Mateer
22%
Drew Mestemaker
35%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
33%
Ahmad Hardy
32%
Brendan Sorsby
34%
Kewan Lacy
33%
If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**The 2026 Heisman race remains exceptionally open entering the season, with trader probabilities reflecting a deep, competitive field of quarterbacks on high-profile teams and no clear frontrunner.** Preseason betting markets list Notre Dame’s CJ Carr as the slight favorite after his productive redshirt freshman campaign (2,741 passing yards, 24 touchdowns), followed closely by Texas QB Arch Manning, who rebounded late in 2025 with stronger efficiency and volume. Contenders such as Miami transfer Darian Mensah, Oregon’s Dante Moore, Ohio State’s Julian Sayin, Ole Miss’ Trinidad Chambliss, and wide receiver Jeremiah Smith sit in a tight cluster, supported by favorable team outlooks, transfer additions, and returning production. Recent form, roster changes, and schedule strength keep probabilities bunched, as historical patterns show preseason leaders frequently fade while late risers emerge through consistent stats and playoff contention. The wisdom of crowds in this market underscores the inherent uncertainty of individual awards tied to team success and late-season momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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