Indiana enters 2026 as defending national champions after a 16-0 season, but faces substantial roster turnover from NFL departures and exhausted eligibility. Curt Cignetti’s program reloaded through the transfer portal with quarterback Josh Hoover, wide receiver Nick Marsh, and defensive contributors including Tobi Osunsanmi and A.J. Harris, preserving depth on both lines and in the secondary. The regular-season schedule offers three straightforward non-conference home wins followed by winnable Big Ten home dates against Northwestern, Minnesota, and Purdue, offset by road tests at Michigan and Washington plus a home rematch with Ohio State. Preseason models such as SP+ and FPI project roughly 10 wins, reflecting the combination of proven coaching continuity, new starters at key skill positions, and a strength-of-schedule ranking in the low 30s nationally. Recent fall-camp updates confirm ongoing position battles at edge rusher and cornerback while highlighting expected full-season sellouts at Memorial Stadium.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated7.5+ Wins
91%
8.5+ Wins
82%
9.5+ Wins
69%
10.5+ Wins
44%
11.5+ Wins
45%
$1,350 Vol.
7.5+ Wins
91%
8.5+ Wins
82%
9.5+ Wins
69%
10.5+ Wins
44%
11.5+ Wins
45%
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Indiana enters 2026 as defending national champions after a 16-0 season, but faces substantial roster turnover from NFL departures and exhausted eligibility. Curt Cignetti’s program reloaded through the transfer portal with quarterback Josh Hoover, wide receiver Nick Marsh, and defensive contributors including Tobi Osunsanmi and A.J. Harris, preserving depth on both lines and in the secondary. The regular-season schedule offers three straightforward non-conference home wins followed by winnable Big Ten home dates against Northwestern, Minnesota, and Purdue, offset by road tests at Michigan and Washington plus a home rematch with Ohio State. Preseason models such as SP+ and FPI project roughly 10 wins, reflecting the combination of proven coaching continuity, new starters at key skill positions, and a strength-of-schedule ranking in the low 30s nationally. Recent fall-camp updates confirm ongoing position battles at edge rusher and cornerback while highlighting expected full-season sellouts at Memorial Stadium.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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