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icon for Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

icon for Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

$843,014 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$843,014 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31

$320,700 Vol.

91%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's political deadlock has kept Ilie Bolojan in office as caretaker prime minister since his minority coalition government fell to a no-confidence vote on 5 May 2026, backed by the PSD and AUR. Multiple attempts by President Nicușor Dan to install a new cabinet have failed due to insufficient parliamentary majorities, leaving Bolojan's PNL-led interim administration to handle day-to-day governance and PNRR milestones tied to EU funds. Recent developments include parliamentary approval of integrity and pay legislation amid European scrutiny, a DNA investigation prompting a deputy secretary-general's resignation, and Bolojan's public calls for a full-power government ahead of September's parliamentary resumption and budget revision. He has signaled openness to supporting a stable successor while rejecting certain PSD-led options, underscoring institutional pressures and coalition negotiations as the main variables that could accelerate or delay his exit.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$843,014
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's political deadlock has kept Ilie Bolojan in office as caretaker prime minister since his minority coalition government fell to a no-confidence vote on 5 May 2026, backed by the PSD and AUR. Multiple attempts by President Nicușor Dan to install a new cabinet have failed due to insufficient parliamentary majorities, leaving Bolojan's PNL-led interim administration to handle day-to-day governance and PNRR milestones tied to EU funds. Recent developments include parliamentary approval of integrity and pay legislation amid European scrutiny, a DNA investigation prompting a deputy secretary-general's resignation, and Bolojan's public calls for a full-power government ahead of September's parliamentary resumption and budget revision. He has signaled openness to supporting a stable successor while rejecting certain PSD-led options, underscoring institutional pressures and coalition negotiations as the main variables that could accelerate or delay his exit.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$843,014
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 91%, followed by "May 31" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?" has generated $843K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?" is "December 31" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "May 31" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.