SpaceX (SPCX) shares trade near $140 with an approximately $1.84 trillion market capitalization following the June 2026 IPO priced at $135 per share. Trader focus centers on the company’s Q2 results, which showed $7.8 billion revenue (92% YoY growth) alongside a $541 million net loss and $18.4 billion in capital expenditures tied to AI infrastructure and the recent Cursor acquisition. A Morgan Stanley note highlighted an attractively valued profile after the announced $100 billion Louisiana spaceport project, while Starlink subscriber additions and contracted cloud/AI revenue provide near-term support. With only days remaining until the August 31 close, implied odds reflect limited room for sharp moves absent new catalysts such as additional analyst revisions or macroeconomic shifts affecting high-growth tech multiples.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$50
90%
$60
90%
$70
90%
$80
93%
$90
92%
$100
90%
$110
90%
$120
90%
$130
82%
$140
59%
$150
20%
$160
11%
$170
11%
$1,347 Vol.
$50
90%
$60
90%
$70
90%
$80
93%
$90
92%
$100
90%
$110
90%
$120
90%
$130
82%
$140
59%
$150
20%
$160
11%
$170
11%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX (SPCX) shares trade near $140 with an approximately $1.84 trillion market capitalization following the June 2026 IPO priced at $135 per share. Trader focus centers on the company’s Q2 results, which showed $7.8 billion revenue (92% YoY growth) alongside a $541 million net loss and $18.4 billion in capital expenditures tied to AI infrastructure and the recent Cursor acquisition. A Morgan Stanley note highlighted an attractively valued profile after the announced $100 billion Louisiana spaceport project, while Starlink subscriber additions and contracted cloud/AI revenue provide near-term support. With only days remaining until the August 31 close, implied odds reflect limited room for sharp moves absent new catalysts such as additional analyst revisions or macroeconomic shifts affecting high-growth tech multiples.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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