Magnus Carlsen holds the strongest trader consensus at 23.1% for the September 1 Titled Tuesday, reflecting his unmatched blitz pedigree and recent victories including the August 4 event plus an undefeated Esports World Cup title. A large Swiss-system field of hundreds creates high variance, which compresses probabilities for the rest of the field. Arjun Erigaisi and Alireza Firouzja follow at 8% and 7% on the strength of consistent top finishes and elite rapid ratings, while Nodirbek Abdusattorov, Vladislav Artemiev, and Denis Lazavik sit near 6-7% due to strong recent form and head-to-head results against top competition. Hikaru Nakamura and several other grandmasters cluster around 4.5-5% in a format where upsets remain common despite rating gaps.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMagnus Carlsen 25.0%
Vladislav Artemiev 13.0%
Brandon Jacobson 9%
Jules Moussard 8.0%
Magnus Carlsen
24%
Vladislav Artemiev
13%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Jules Moussard
8%
Tuomas Turunen
8%
Aleksandr Shimanov
8%
Arjun Erigaisi
8%
Denis Lazavik
7%
Alireza Firouzja
7%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
6%
Hikaru Nakamura
5%
Jose Martinez
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Le Tuan Minh
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Awonder Liang
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Ding Liren
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Fabiano Caruana
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Javokhir Sindarov
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Hans Niemann
4%
Pranesh Munirethinam
4%
Pranav Venkatesh
4%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
4%
Alexander Grischuk
4%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
4%
Faustino Oro
4%
Parham Maghsoodloo
4%
Andrey Esipenko
4%
Dmitry Andreikin
4%
Rasmus Svane
4%
Wesley So
4%
Haik Martirosyan
4%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
4%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
4%
Benjamin Bok
4%
Bardiya Daneshvar
4%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
4%
Dincer Tasdogen
4%
Frederik Svane
4%
Haowen Xue
4%
Volen Dyulgerov
4%
Aravindh Chithambaram
4%
Nikolas Theodorou
4%
Rudik Makarian
4%
Sam Sevian
4%
Sergey Sklokin
4%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
4%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
4%
Aleksandar Indjic
4%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
4%
David Anton
4%
Dau Khuong Duy
4%
Levon Aronian
4%
Matthias Bluebaum
4%
Renato Terry Lujan
4%
Vincent Keymer
4%
Aleksei Sarana
3%
Magnus Carlsen 25.0%
Vladislav Artemiev 13.0%
Brandon Jacobson 9%
Jules Moussard 8.0%
Magnus Carlsen
24%
Vladislav Artemiev
13%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Jules Moussard
8%
Tuomas Turunen
8%
Aleksandr Shimanov
8%
Arjun Erigaisi
8%
Denis Lazavik
7%
Alireza Firouzja
7%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
6%
Hikaru Nakamura
5%
Jose Martinez
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Le Tuan Minh
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Awonder Liang
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Ding Liren
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Fabiano Caruana
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Javokhir Sindarov
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Hans Niemann
4%
Pranesh Munirethinam
4%
Pranav Venkatesh
4%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
4%
Alexander Grischuk
4%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
4%
Faustino Oro
4%
Parham Maghsoodloo
4%
Andrey Esipenko
4%
Dmitry Andreikin
4%
Rasmus Svane
4%
Wesley So
4%
Haik Martirosyan
4%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
4%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
4%
Benjamin Bok
4%
Bardiya Daneshvar
4%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
4%
Dincer Tasdogen
4%
Frederik Svane
4%
Haowen Xue
4%
Volen Dyulgerov
4%
Aravindh Chithambaram
4%
Nikolas Theodorou
4%
Rudik Makarian
4%
Sam Sevian
4%
Sergey Sklokin
4%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
4%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
4%
Aleksandar Indjic
4%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
4%
David Anton
4%
Dau Khuong Duy
4%
Levon Aronian
4%
Matthias Bluebaum
4%
Renato Terry Lujan
4%
Vincent Keymer
4%
Aleksei Sarana
3%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Magnus Carlsen holds the strongest trader consensus at 23.1% for the September 1 Titled Tuesday, reflecting his unmatched blitz pedigree and recent victories including the August 4 event plus an undefeated Esports World Cup title. A large Swiss-system field of hundreds creates high variance, which compresses probabilities for the rest of the field. Arjun Erigaisi and Alireza Firouzja follow at 8% and 7% on the strength of consistent top finishes and elite rapid ratings, while Nodirbek Abdusattorov, Vladislav Artemiev, and Denis Lazavik sit near 6-7% due to strong recent form and head-to-head results against top competition. Hikaru Nakamura and several other grandmasters cluster around 4.5-5% in a format where upsets remain common despite rating gaps.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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