Spain and France lead the UEFA Euro 2028 winner market as joint favorites due to their recent dominance, with Spain fresh off the 2026 World Cup title and the 2024 European Championship. France's deep attacking options and expected managerial transition keep them close behind. England sits third as co-hosts with a talented core including Jude Bellingham and Harry Kane, bolstered by home-soil advantages across venues in England, Scotland, Wales, and Ireland. The tight spread among the top five reflects broad squad parity, ongoing Nations League cycles, and the fact that Euro 2028 qualifying has yet to begin, leaving ample time for form shifts or injuries to reshape implied probabilities across the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSpain 23%
France 20%
England 16%
Germany 10%
$52,631 Vol.
$52,631 Vol.
Albania
<1%
Andorra
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Austria
1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Belgium
6%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
<1%
Bulgaria
<1%
Croatia
2%
Cyprus
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Denmark
1%
England
16%
Estonia
<1%
Faroe Islands
<1%
Finland
<1%
France
20%
Georgia
<1%
Germany
10%
Gibraltar
<1%
Greece
2%
Hungary
1%
Iceland
1%
Israel
<1%
Italy
4%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Kosovo
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Liechtenstein
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Malta
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Netherlands
7%
North Macedonia
<1%
Northern Ireland
<1%
Norway
4%
Poland
1%
Portugal
10%
Republic of Ireland
<1%
Romania
<1%
Russia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Slovakia
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
Spain
23%
Sweden
1%
Switzerland
2%
Turkey
1%
Ukraine
<1%
Wales
<1%
Spain 23%
France 20%
England 16%
Germany 10%
$52,631 Vol.
$52,631 Vol.
Albania
<1%
Andorra
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Austria
1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Belgium
6%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
<1%
Bulgaria
<1%
Croatia
2%
Cyprus
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Denmark
1%
England
16%
Estonia
<1%
Faroe Islands
<1%
Finland
<1%
France
20%
Georgia
<1%
Germany
10%
Gibraltar
<1%
Greece
2%
Hungary
1%
Iceland
1%
Israel
<1%
Italy
4%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Kosovo
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Liechtenstein
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Malta
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Netherlands
7%
North Macedonia
<1%
Northern Ireland
<1%
Norway
4%
Poland
1%
Portugal
10%
Republic of Ireland
<1%
Romania
<1%
Russia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Slovakia
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
Spain
23%
Sweden
1%
Switzerland
2%
Turkey
1%
Ukraine
<1%
Wales
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Spain and France lead the UEFA Euro 2028 winner market as joint favorites due to their recent dominance, with Spain fresh off the 2026 World Cup title and the 2024 European Championship. France's deep attacking options and expected managerial transition keep them close behind. England sits third as co-hosts with a talented core including Jude Bellingham and Harry Kane, bolstered by home-soil advantages across venues in England, Scotland, Wales, and Ireland. The tight spread among the top five reflects broad squad parity, ongoing Nations League cycles, and the fact that Euro 2028 qualifying has yet to begin, leaving ample time for form shifts or injuries to reshape implied probabilities across the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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