Brandon Holmes and Modestino Rodrigues enter their middleweight clash on Dana White’s Contender Series 2026 Week 4 with nearly identical 6-1 and 7-1 pro records, both standing 6'2" and favoring power striking. Holmes rebounded from a first-round TKO loss on the 2025 series with a first-round knockout of Preston LaGrange in January 2026, bringing regional U.S. experience and proven durability against higher-level opposition. Rodrigues arrives on a four-fight knockout streak in Brazilian promotions, where every win has ended inside two rounds via strikes, though his recent kickboxing outing ended in defeat. The bout’s three-round format at the UFC Apex favors early finishers, with community sentiment reflecting Holmes’ prior DWCS exposure and recent activity as the primary drivers of current implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated4d 17h
This market will resolve to "Brandon Holmes" if Brandon Holmes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Modestino Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026.
It will resolve to "Modestino Rodrigues" if Modestino Rodrigues is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Brandon Holmes and Modestino Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Brandon Holmes and Modestino Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Brandon Holmes defeats Modestino Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Modestino Rodrigues defeats Brandon Holmes at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Brandon Holmes and Modestino Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Brandon Holmes and Modestino Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
"Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 15, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Brandon Holmes and Modestino Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
"Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 15, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Brandon Holmes and Modestino Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
"Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 15, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Brandon Holmes and Modestino Rodrigues enter their middleweight clash on Dana White’s Contender Series 2026 Week 4 with nearly identical 6-1 and 7-1 pro records, both standing 6'2" and favoring power striking. Holmes rebounded from a first-round TKO loss on the 2025 series with a first-round knockout of Preston LaGrange in January 2026, bringing regional U.S. experience and proven durability against higher-level opposition. Rodrigues arrives on a four-fight knockout streak in Brazilian promotions, where every win has ended inside two rounds via strikes, though his recent kickboxing outing ended in defeat. The bout’s three-round format at the UFC Apex favors early finishers, with community sentiment reflecting Holmes’ prior DWCS exposure and recent activity as the primary drivers of current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Brandon Holmes" if Brandon Holmes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Modestino Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026.
It will resolve to "Modestino Rodrigues" if Modestino Rodrigues is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Modestino Rodrigues" if Modestino Rodrigues is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$1,000End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...4d 17h
This market will resolve to "Brandon Holmes" if Brandon Holmes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Modestino Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026.
It will resolve to "Modestino Rodrigues" if Modestino Rodrigues is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Brandon Holmes and Modestino Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Brandon Holmes and Modestino Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Brandon Holmes defeats Modestino Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Modestino Rodrigues defeats Brandon Holmes at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Brandon Holmes and Modestino Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Brandon Holmes and Modestino Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
"Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 15, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Brandon Holmes and Modestino Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
"Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 15, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Brandon Holmes and Modestino Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
"Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 15, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Brandon Holmes and Modestino Rodrigues enter their middleweight clash on Dana White’s Contender Series 2026 Week 4 with nearly identical 6-1 and 7-1 pro records, both standing 6'2" and favoring power striking. Holmes rebounded from a first-round TKO loss on the 2025 series with a first-round knockout of Preston LaGrange in January 2026, bringing regional U.S. experience and proven durability against higher-level opposition. Rodrigues arrives on a four-fight knockout streak in Brazilian promotions, where every win has ended inside two rounds via strikes, though his recent kickboxing outing ended in defeat. The bout’s three-round format at the UFC Apex favors early finishers, with community sentiment reflecting Holmes’ prior DWCS exposure and recent activity as the primary drivers of current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Brandon Holmes" if Brandon Holmes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Modestino Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026.
It will resolve to "Modestino Rodrigues" if Modestino Rodrigues is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Modestino Rodrigues" if Modestino Rodrigues is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$1,000End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...Brandon Holmes and Modestino Rodrigues enter their middleweight clash on Dana White’s Contender Series 2026 Week 4 with nearly identical 6-1 and 7-1 pro records, both standing 6'2" and favoring power striking. Holmes rebounded from a first-round TKO loss on the 2025 series with a first-round knockout of Preston LaGrange in January 2026, bringing regional U.S. experience and proven durability against higher-level opposition. Rodrigues arrives on a four-fight knockout streak in Brazilian promotions, where every win has ended inside two rounds via strikes, though his recent kickboxing outing ended in defeat. The bout’s three-round format at the UFC Apex favors early finishers, with community sentiment reflecting Holmes’ prior DWCS exposure and recent activity as the primary drivers of current implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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