Umar Nurmagomedov enters as the clear favorite against Song Yadong in the UFC Shanghai bantamweight main event, backed by an elite Dagestani wrestling pedigree that has produced consistent control against top competition. The 20-1 contender rebounded from his lone career loss—a competitive decision to champion Merab Dvalishvili—with unanimous decision wins over Mario Bautista and Deiveson Figueiredo, maintaining high takedown volume and near-perfect defense. Song, fighting at home for the second time in 2026 after a guillotine finish over Figueiredo, brings striking power and durability but faces a stylistic mismatch; he has prepared wrestling defenses in Georgia and at Team Alpha Male. Both fighters view a victory as a direct path to title contention behind the Yan-Dvalishvili outcome, with the five-round format and Nurmagomedov’s pace positioning him strongly in trader consensus while Song’s experience keeps the matchup from being one-sided.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1d 1h
This market will resolve to "Song Yadong" if Song Yadong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.
It will resolve to "Umar Nurmagomedov" if Umar Nurmagomedov is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Song Yadong defeats Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Umar Nurmagomedov defeats Song Yadong at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
"Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
"Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
"Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 3.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 4.
"Under 3.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 4.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 4.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5.
"Under 4.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Umar Nurmagomedov enters as the clear favorite against Song Yadong in the UFC Shanghai bantamweight main event, backed by an elite Dagestani wrestling pedigree that has produced consistent control against top competition. The 20-1 contender rebounded from his lone career loss—a competitive decision to champion Merab Dvalishvili—with unanimous decision wins over Mario Bautista and Deiveson Figueiredo, maintaining high takedown volume and near-perfect defense. Song, fighting at home for the second time in 2026 after a guillotine finish over Figueiredo, brings striking power and durability but faces a stylistic mismatch; he has prepared wrestling defenses in Georgia and at Team Alpha Male. Both fighters view a victory as a direct path to title contention behind the Yan-Dvalishvili outcome, with the five-round format and Nurmagomedov’s pace positioning him strongly in trader consensus while Song’s experience keeps the matchup from being one-sided.
This market will resolve to "Song Yadong" if Song Yadong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.
It will resolve to "Umar Nurmagomedov" if Umar Nurmagomedov is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Umar Nurmagomedov" if Umar Nurmagomedov is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$159,851End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...1d 1h
This market will resolve to "Song Yadong" if Song Yadong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.
It will resolve to "Umar Nurmagomedov" if Umar Nurmagomedov is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Song Yadong defeats Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Umar Nurmagomedov defeats Song Yadong at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
"Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
"Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
"Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 3.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 4.
"Under 3.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 4.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 4.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5.
"Under 4.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Umar Nurmagomedov enters as the clear favorite against Song Yadong in the UFC Shanghai bantamweight main event, backed by an elite Dagestani wrestling pedigree that has produced consistent control against top competition. The 20-1 contender rebounded from his lone career loss—a competitive decision to champion Merab Dvalishvili—with unanimous decision wins over Mario Bautista and Deiveson Figueiredo, maintaining high takedown volume and near-perfect defense. Song, fighting at home for the second time in 2026 after a guillotine finish over Figueiredo, brings striking power and durability but faces a stylistic mismatch; he has prepared wrestling defenses in Georgia and at Team Alpha Male. Both fighters view a victory as a direct path to title contention behind the Yan-Dvalishvili outcome, with the five-round format and Nurmagomedov’s pace positioning him strongly in trader consensus while Song’s experience keeps the matchup from being one-sided.
This market will resolve to "Song Yadong" if Song Yadong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.
It will resolve to "Umar Nurmagomedov" if Umar Nurmagomedov is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Umar Nurmagomedov" if Umar Nurmagomedov is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$159,851End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...Umar Nurmagomedov enters as the clear favorite against Song Yadong in the UFC Shanghai bantamweight main event, backed by an elite Dagestani wrestling pedigree that has produced consistent control against top competition. The 20-1 contender rebounded from his lone career loss—a competitive decision to champion Merab Dvalishvili—with unanimous decision wins over Mario Bautista and Deiveson Figueiredo, maintaining high takedown volume and near-perfect defense. Song, fighting at home for the second time in 2026 after a guillotine finish over Figueiredo, brings striking power and durability but faces a stylistic mismatch; he has prepared wrestling defenses in Georgia and at Team Alpha Male. Both fighters view a victory as a direct path to title contention behind the Yan-Dvalishvili outcome, with the five-round format and Nurmagomedov’s pace positioning him strongly in trader consensus while Song’s experience keeps the matchup from being one-sided.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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