Xiao Long holds a slight edge in the bantamweight prelim against debuting Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Shanghai, with traders pricing the Chinese fighter around 60% implied probability. Xiao brings Octagon experience and a home-crowd advantage in Shanghai despite back-to-back unanimous decision losses to Cody Garbrandt and SuYoung You. Nuzzi, an Italian striker with strong finishing credentials and eight first-round finishes across promotions like PFL and Cage Warriors, steps in on roughly 10 days’ notice for his UFC debut. Both fighters have recent bouts marred by low-blow controversies, but Nuzzi’s explosive power and grappling threat create realistic upset potential against an opponent coming off two defeats. The short-notice element and stylistic matchup between Xiao’s Sanda-influenced striking and Nuzzi’s kickboxing base shape the current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThis market will resolve to "Xiao Long" if Xiao Long is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.
It will resolve to "Francesco Nuzzi" if Francesco Nuzzi is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Xiao Long and Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Xiao Long and Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xiao Long defeats Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Francesco Nuzzi defeats Xiao Long at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Xiao Long and Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Xiao Long and Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
"Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Xiao Long and Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
"Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Xiao Long and Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
"Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Xiao Long holds a slight edge in the bantamweight prelim against debuting Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Shanghai, with traders pricing the Chinese fighter around 60% implied probability. Xiao brings Octagon experience and a home-crowd advantage in Shanghai despite back-to-back unanimous decision losses to Cody Garbrandt and SuYoung You. Nuzzi, an Italian striker with strong finishing credentials and eight first-round finishes across promotions like PFL and Cage Warriors, steps in on roughly 10 days’ notice for his UFC debut. Both fighters have recent bouts marred by low-blow controversies, but Nuzzi’s explosive power and grappling threat create realistic upset potential against an opponent coming off two defeats. The short-notice element and stylistic matchup between Xiao’s Sanda-influenced striking and Nuzzi’s kickboxing base shape the current consensus.
This market will resolve to "Xiao Long" if Xiao Long is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.
It will resolve to "Francesco Nuzzi" if Francesco Nuzzi is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Francesco Nuzzi" if Francesco Nuzzi is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$7,353End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Xiao Long" if Xiao Long is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.
It will resolve to "Francesco Nuzzi" if Francesco Nuzzi is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Xiao Long and Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Xiao Long and Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xiao Long defeats Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Francesco Nuzzi defeats Xiao Long at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Xiao Long and Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Xiao Long and Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
"Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Xiao Long and Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
"Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Xiao Long and Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
"Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Xiao Long holds a slight edge in the bantamweight prelim against debuting Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Shanghai, with traders pricing the Chinese fighter around 60% implied probability. Xiao brings Octagon experience and a home-crowd advantage in Shanghai despite back-to-back unanimous decision losses to Cody Garbrandt and SuYoung You. Nuzzi, an Italian striker with strong finishing credentials and eight first-round finishes across promotions like PFL and Cage Warriors, steps in on roughly 10 days’ notice for his UFC debut. Both fighters have recent bouts marred by low-blow controversies, but Nuzzi’s explosive power and grappling threat create realistic upset potential against an opponent coming off two defeats. The short-notice element and stylistic matchup between Xiao’s Sanda-influenced striking and Nuzzi’s kickboxing base shape the current consensus.
This market will resolve to "Xiao Long" if Xiao Long is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.
It will resolve to "Francesco Nuzzi" if Francesco Nuzzi is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Francesco Nuzzi" if Francesco Nuzzi is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$7,353End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...Xiao Long holds a slight edge in the bantamweight prelim against debuting Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Shanghai, with traders pricing the Chinese fighter around 60% implied probability. Xiao brings Octagon experience and a home-crowd advantage in Shanghai despite back-to-back unanimous decision losses to Cody Garbrandt and SuYoung You. Nuzzi, an Italian striker with strong finishing credentials and eight first-round finishes across promotions like PFL and Cage Warriors, steps in on roughly 10 days’ notice for his UFC debut. Both fighters have recent bouts marred by low-blow controversies, but Nuzzi’s explosive power and grappling threat create realistic upset potential against an opponent coming off two defeats. The short-notice element and stylistic matchup between Xiao’s Sanda-influenced striking and Nuzzi’s kickboxing base shape the current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions