President Javier Milei’s administration has prioritized fiscal surpluses, inflation reduction to around 33%, and central bank reserve accumulation exceeding $13 billion in 2026 through export-driven inflows and a managed peso float within inflation-adjusted bands, backed by an IMF program. Full official dollarization—replacing the peso as legal tender—remains off the immediate agenda, with no major legislative or executive steps taken toward converting the monetary base or closing the BCRA. Recent passage of a BCRA charter reform bill in the lower house, narrowing its mandate to price stability and banning Treasury financing, advances institutional credibility but reinforces the current stabilization path over abrupt regime change. Private dollar holdings and capital outflows continue, while traders price low odds for completion by late 2026 due to reserve levels, congressional hurdles, and the 2027 electoral cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$45,837 Vol.

December 31, 2026
7%
$45,837 Vol.

December 31, 2026
7%
An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
Market Opened: Jun 28, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Javier Milei’s administration has prioritized fiscal surpluses, inflation reduction to around 33%, and central bank reserve accumulation exceeding $13 billion in 2026 through export-driven inflows and a managed peso float within inflation-adjusted bands, backed by an IMF program. Full official dollarization—replacing the peso as legal tender—remains off the immediate agenda, with no major legislative or executive steps taken toward converting the monetary base or closing the BCRA. Recent passage of a BCRA charter reform bill in the lower house, narrowing its mandate to price stability and banning Treasury financing, advances institutional credibility but reinforces the current stabilization path over abrupt regime change. Private dollar holdings and capital outflows continue, while traders price low odds for completion by late 2026 due to reserve levels, congressional hurdles, and the 2027 electoral cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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