**Team Spirit's Dota 2 roster achieved stability and peak success after mid-2026 adjustments, driving the 76.5% implied probability against further changes by December 31.** The current lineup—Yatoro, Larl, Collapse, not me, and rue—secured the organization's third International title in August 2026, defeating TEAM VISION 3-2 in the grand final after navigating a challenging season that included multiple support-role shifts. The key move came in May 2026 when not me (Alexey Kosmynin) replaced panto on the active roster, shifting rue to position 5 support and placing panto on the inactive list; this followed earlier instability and aligned with Miposhka's transition to coaching alongside MiLAN. Post-TI shuffle discussions highlight roster moves across other organizations, yet Spirit shows no confirmed departures, trials, or announcements as of late August 2026, with their latest listed transaction from early July. Winning teams typically retain cores during the off-season to build on momentum heading into events like PGL Wallachia Season 9, and the absence of reported issues with the current five supports the market consensus favoring continuity through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated24% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
24% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Spirit's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: magixx, donk, zont1x, sh1ro, tN1R. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Team Spirit's Dota 2 roster achieved stability and peak success after mid-2026 adjustments, driving the 76.5% implied probability against further changes by December 31.**
The current lineup—Yatoro, Larl, Collapse, not me, and rue—secured the organization's third International title in August 2026, defeating TEAM VISION 3-2 in the grand final after navigating a challenging season that included multiple support-role shifts. The key move came in May 2026 when not me (Alexey Kosmynin) replaced panto on the active roster, shifting rue to position 5 support and placing panto on the inactive list; this followed earlier instability and aligned with Miposhka's transition to coaching alongside MiLAN.
Post-TI shuffle discussions highlight roster moves across other organizations, yet Spirit shows no confirmed departures, trials, or announcements as of late August 2026, with their latest listed transaction from early July. Winning teams typically retain cores during the off-season to build on momentum heading into events like PGL Wallachia Season 9, and the absence of reported issues with the current five supports the market consensus favoring continuity through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Spirit's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: magixx, donk, zont1x, sh1ro, tN1R. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: magixx, donk, zont1x, sh1ro, tN1R. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
Volume
$82End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBoxResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Spirit's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: magixx, donk, zont1x, sh1ro, tN1R. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Team Spirit's Dota 2 roster achieved stability and peak success after mid-2026 adjustments, driving the 76.5% implied probability against further changes by December 31.**
The current lineup—Yatoro, Larl, Collapse, not me, and rue—secured the organization's third International title in August 2026, defeating TEAM VISION 3-2 in the grand final after navigating a challenging season that included multiple support-role shifts. The key move came in May 2026 when not me (Alexey Kosmynin) replaced panto on the active roster, shifting rue to position 5 support and placing panto on the inactive list; this followed earlier instability and aligned with Miposhka's transition to coaching alongside MiLAN.
Post-TI shuffle discussions highlight roster moves across other organizations, yet Spirit shows no confirmed departures, trials, or announcements as of late August 2026, with their latest listed transaction from early July. Winning teams typically retain cores during the off-season to build on momentum heading into events like PGL Wallachia Season 9, and the absence of reported issues with the current five supports the market consensus favoring continuity through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Spirit's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: magixx, donk, zont1x, sh1ro, tN1R. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: magixx, donk, zont1x, sh1ro, tN1R. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$82End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBoxResolver
0x65070BE91...**Team Spirit's Dota 2 roster achieved stability and peak success after mid-2026 adjustments, driving the 76.5% implied probability against further changes by December 31.** The current lineup—Yatoro, Larl, Collapse, not me, and rue—secured the organization's third International title in August 2026, defeating TEAM VISION 3-2 in the grand final after navigating a challenging season that included multiple support-role shifts. The key move came in May 2026 when not me (Alexey Kosmynin) replaced panto on the active roster, shifting rue to position 5 support and placing panto on the inactive list; this followed earlier instability and aligned with Miposhka's transition to coaching alongside MiLAN. Post-TI shuffle discussions highlight roster moves across other organizations, yet Spirit shows no confirmed departures, trials, or announcements as of late August 2026, with their latest listed transaction from early July. Winning teams typically retain cores during the off-season to build on momentum heading into events like PGL Wallachia Season 9, and the absence of reported issues with the current five supports the market consensus favoring continuity through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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