The UAE continues active participation in GCC institutions, including a June 2026 joint ministerial meeting with the United States where it emphasized collective security coordination amid regional tensions, alongside ongoing plans for a unified GCC Grand Tours visa launching with a UAE-Bahrain pilot later in the year. Shared responses to maritime threats and economic alignment on trade facilitation have reinforced bloc cohesion, with no official statements or procedural steps indicating withdrawal. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent against departure by year-end reflects this sustained engagement and the absence of triggering disputes. A late-year escalation in bilateral rivalries over Yemen policy or energy coordination could still prompt reconsideration before December 31, though no such trajectory is evident.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
5% chance
$100,506 Vol.
$100,506 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
5% chance
$100,506 Vol.
$100,506 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UAE continues active participation in GCC institutions, including a June 2026 joint ministerial meeting with the United States where it emphasized collective security coordination amid regional tensions, alongside ongoing plans for a unified GCC Grand Tours visa launching with a UAE-Bahrain pilot later in the year. Shared responses to maritime threats and economic alignment on trade facilitation have reinforced bloc cohesion, with no official statements or procedural steps indicating withdrawal. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent against departure by year-end reflects this sustained engagement and the absence of triggering disputes. A late-year escalation in bilateral rivalries over Yemen policy or energy coordination could still prompt reconsideration before December 31, though no such trajectory is evident.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Volume
$100,506End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UAE continues active participation in GCC institutions, including a June 2026 joint ministerial meeting with the United States where it emphasized collective security coordination amid regional tensions, alongside ongoing plans for a unified GCC Grand Tours visa launching with a UAE-Bahrain pilot later in the year. Shared responses to maritime threats and economic alignment on trade facilitation have reinforced bloc cohesion, with no official statements or procedural steps indicating withdrawal. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent against departure by year-end reflects this sustained engagement and the absence of triggering disputes. A late-year escalation in bilateral rivalries over Yemen policy or energy coordination could still prompt reconsideration before December 31, though no such trajectory is evident.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$100,506End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The UAE continues active participation in GCC institutions, including a June 2026 joint ministerial meeting with the United States where it emphasized collective security coordination amid regional tensions, alongside ongoing plans for a unified GCC Grand Tours visa launching with a UAE-Bahrain pilot later in the year. Shared responses to maritime threats and economic alignment on trade facilitation have reinforced bloc cohesion, with no official statements or procedural steps indicating withdrawal. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent against departure by year-end reflects this sustained engagement and the absence of triggering disputes. A late-year escalation in bilateral rivalries over Yemen policy or energy coordination could still prompt reconsideration before December 31, though no such trajectory is evident.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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