Sydney Swans host Port Adelaide Power at the SCG in Round 22 amid significant injury disruptions that have narrowed the implied probability gap. Sydney enters after a strong comeback win over St Kilda but must manage without ruckman Brodie Grundy and key midfielders James Rowbottom and Will Edwards, forcing lineup changes that test depth during a push for a top-two finish. Port, enduring a four-game losing streak and multiple absences including Connor Rozee, Zak Butters, and Mitch Georgiades, has shown resilience in tight contests against finals contenders yet faces further strain from illness and a thin list. Home-ground advantage and recent scoring form favor the Swans, while Port’s attrition and competitive margins in prior meetings sustain close trader pricing around even odds. Further roster clarity or late changes could shift momentum ahead of the bounce.
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Sydney Swans – Port Adelaide Power
Moneyline
$107 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win.
This market will resolve to "Port Adelaide Power" if Port Adelaide Power is officially credited with the match win.
The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.afl.com.au/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Sydney Swans – Port Adelaide Power
Moneyline
$107 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win.
This market will resolve to "Port Adelaide Power" if Port Adelaide Power is officially credited with the match win.
The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.afl.com.au/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Sydney Swans host Port Adelaide Power at the SCG in Round 22 amid significant injury disruptions that have narrowed the implied probability gap. Sydney enters after a strong comeback win over St Kilda but must manage without ruckman Brodie Grundy and key midfielders James Rowbottom and Will Edwards, forcing lineup changes that test depth during a push for a top-two finish. Port, enduring a four-game losing streak and multiple absences including Connor Rozee, Zak Butters, and Mitch Georgiades, has shown resilience in tight contests against finals contenders yet faces further strain from illness and a thin list. Home-ground advantage and recent scoring form favor the Swans, while Port’s attrition and competitive margins in prior meetings sustain close trader pricing around even odds. Further roster clarity or late changes could shift momentum ahead of the bounce.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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