Struff, ranked No. 44 and a 36-year-old veteran with a career-high of No. 21, holds the edge over No. 76 Carabelli entering this US Open first-round matchup on hard courts. Struff posted a Wimbledon quarterfinal in 2026 alongside a 13-16 season record, while Carabelli sits at roughly 14-19 with stronger clay results and limited hard-court success this year. The German's size, serve, and prior Grand Slam experience on faster surfaces contrast with the Argentine's clay-court focus and earlier exits in recent Masters events. No direct head-to-head history stands out, leaving recent form, surface adaptation, and ranking differential as primary drivers of trader consensus around Struff's implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAll Sports
NFL
MLB
College Football
UFC
All
Premier League
LaLiga
Bundesliga
Serie A
MLS
Club Friendlies
Liga MX
K League 2
Brasileirão Série B
Taça de Portugal
Eliteserien
Uruguayan Primera División
Ligue 1
Categoría Primera A
Liga de Primera
Allsvenskan
LigaPro Serie A
K League 1
Liga 1
Chinese Super League
Brasileirão Série A
EFL Championship
Primeira Liga
efbet Liga
J1 League
Ekstraklasa
Eredivisie
National League
Categoría Primera B
J2 League
Scottish Premiership
Süper Lig
Primera Nacional
DFB-Pokal
USL League One
NWSL
League of Ireland Premier Division
USL Championship
Ukrainian Premier League
LaLiga2
2. Bundesliga
Egyptian Premier League
League Two
Kazakhstan Premier League
China League One
Superettan
Ligue 2
Danish Superliga
Brasileirão Série C
UAE Pro League
SuperLiga
UEFA Champions League
Saudi Pro League
UEFA Europa League
Veikkausliiga
Liga FPD
Virslīga
Liga Nacional de Guatemala
UEFA Conference League
Belgium Pro League
League One
Swiss Super League
Primera B (Chile)
Copa do Brasil
Besta deild karla
ÖFB Cup
NB I
Copa Sudamericana
Scotland League Cup
Niké liga
Austria Bundesliga
OBOS-ligaen
Leagues Cup
Chance Liga
Serie B
UEFA Women's Champions League
Serbian SuperLiga
Eerste Divisie
Turkey 1. Lig
Copa Libertadores
Slovenia PrvaLiga
Israeli Premier League
Uzbekistan Super League
Greece Super League
A Lyga
Premium Liiga
Australia Cup
Prva Liga
Qatar Stars League
TFF Süper Kupa
Challenger Pro League
Coppa Italia
A-League Men
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
EFL CUP
Greek Cup
KNVB Beker
Betri deildin
Copa Argentina
Bolivian Primera División
Botola Pro
South Africa Premiership
ASEAN Championship
Hockey
Volleyball
Cycling
Poker
Chess
Pickleball
Esports
Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Jan-Lennard Struff
Moneyline
$187 Vol.
Game Spread
$0 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Jan-Lennard Struff.
This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Jan-Lennard Struff
Moneyline
$187 Vol.
Game Spread
$0 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Jan-Lennard Struff.
This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Struff, ranked No. 44 and a 36-year-old veteran with a career-high of No. 21, holds the edge over No. 76 Carabelli entering this US Open first-round matchup on hard courts. Struff posted a Wimbledon quarterfinal in 2026 alongside a 13-16 season record, while Carabelli sits at roughly 14-19 with stronger clay results and limited hard-court success this year. The German's size, serve, and prior Grand Slam experience on faster surfaces contrast with the Argentine's clay-court focus and earlier exits in recent Masters events. No direct head-to-head history stands out, leaving recent form, surface adaptation, and ranking differential as primary drivers of trader consensus around Struff's implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions