Vancouver Whitecaps FC hold the highest implied probability for MLS 2026 runner-up at 23.5% amid a tightly contested field, reflecting their Western Conference lead, league-best goal difference, and recent 5-0 win over FC Dallas that restored first place after a midweek loss. Nashville SC (17.0%) and Inter Miami CF (15.5%) sit close behind, buoyed by Nashville’s commanding Eastern Conference position (49 points from 21 matches) and Inter Miami’s strong underlying metrics despite a narrower gap. The broad spread across more than two dozen teams at 6.5–13.0% stems from MLS’s playoff structure, where conference positioning, home-field advantage, and late-season form create realistic paths for multiple contenders to reach the MLS Cup final without any single side dominating both regular-season standings and postseason outcomes. Recent results and the compressed points table underscore how injuries, schedule congestion, and momentum shifts keep the runner-up market highly competitive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVancouver Whitecaps FC 25%
Nashville SC 17%
Inter Miami CF 16%
Chicago Fire FC 12%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
25%
Nashville SC
17%
Inter Miami CF
16%
Chicago Fire FC
12%
Los Angeles FC
12%
St. Louis City SC
10%
Charlotte FC
10%
Houston Dynamo FC
9%
FC Dallas
7%
FC Cincinnati
7%
Colorado Rapids
2%
New England Revolution
13%
New York Red Bulls
2%
Portland Timbers
2%
San Jose Earthquakes
2%
Sporting Kansas City
2%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Austin FC
7%
CF Montréal
1%
Columbus Crew
1%
D.C. United
1%
LA Galaxy
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
New York City FC
12%
Orlando City SC
1%
Philadelphia Union
1%
Real Salt Lake
1%
San Diego FC
1%
Seattle Sounders FC
1%
Toronto FC
1%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 25%
Nashville SC 17%
Inter Miami CF 16%
Chicago Fire FC 12%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
25%
Nashville SC
17%
Inter Miami CF
16%
Chicago Fire FC
12%
Los Angeles FC
12%
St. Louis City SC
10%
Charlotte FC
10%
Houston Dynamo FC
9%
FC Dallas
7%
FC Cincinnati
7%
Colorado Rapids
2%
New England Revolution
13%
New York Red Bulls
2%
Portland Timbers
2%
San Jose Earthquakes
2%
Sporting Kansas City
2%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Austin FC
7%
CF Montréal
1%
Columbus Crew
1%
D.C. United
1%
LA Galaxy
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
New York City FC
12%
Orlando City SC
1%
Philadelphia Union
1%
Real Salt Lake
1%
San Diego FC
1%
Seattle Sounders FC
1%
Toronto FC
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of MLS for the 2026 season per the rules of MLS (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the MLS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of MLS for the 2026 season per the rules of MLS (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the MLS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vancouver Whitecaps FC hold the highest implied probability for MLS 2026 runner-up at 23.5% amid a tightly contested field, reflecting their Western Conference lead, league-best goal difference, and recent 5-0 win over FC Dallas that restored first place after a midweek loss. Nashville SC (17.0%) and Inter Miami CF (15.5%) sit close behind, buoyed by Nashville’s commanding Eastern Conference position (49 points from 21 matches) and Inter Miami’s strong underlying metrics despite a narrower gap. The broad spread across more than two dozen teams at 6.5–13.0% stems from MLS’s playoff structure, where conference positioning, home-field advantage, and late-season form create realistic paths for multiple contenders to reach the MLS Cup final without any single side dominating both regular-season standings and postseason outcomes. Recent results and the compressed points table underscore how injuries, schedule congestion, and momentum shifts keep the runner-up market highly competitive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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