Scottie Scheffler leads the 2026 TOUR Championship market at 22% implied probability due to his consistent ball-striking and recent FedEx St. Jude victory, though a mid-season illness and T12 finish at the BMW Championship have kept his edge modest. Viktor Hovland sits second at 16% after strong early-round putting at East Lake and a Travelers playoff win over Scheffler, while Chris Gotterup, Collin Morikawa, and Ryan Gerard cluster around 10% on the strength of 2026 form and course history. The tightly bunched probabilities reflect a deep 30-player field where East Lake rewards precision around the greens and approach play, with no single golfer establishing a dominant lead after two rounds and multiple contenders retaining realistic paths based on recent scoring averages and strokes-gained metrics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 23%
Viktor Hovland 15.7%
Chris Gotterup 11.6%
Collin Morikawa 10.3%
$207,767 Vol.
$207,767 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
23%
Viktor Hovland
16%
Chris Gotterup
12%
Collin Morikawa
10%
Ryan Gerard
10%
Cameron Young
8%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Sam Burns
3%
Justin Rose
2%
Adam Scott
2%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Rory McIlroy
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Tommy Fleetwood
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Xander Schauffele
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Si Woo Kim
1%
Tom Kim
1%
Ryan Fox
1%
Alex Smalley
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 23%
Viktor Hovland 15.7%
Chris Gotterup 11.6%
Collin Morikawa 10.3%
$207,767 Vol.
$207,767 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
23%
Viktor Hovland
16%
Chris Gotterup
12%
Collin Morikawa
10%
Ryan Gerard
10%
Cameron Young
8%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Sam Burns
3%
Justin Rose
2%
Adam Scott
2%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Rory McIlroy
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Tommy Fleetwood
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Xander Schauffele
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Si Woo Kim
1%
Tom Kim
1%
Ryan Fox
1%
Alex Smalley
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Scottie Scheffler leads the 2026 TOUR Championship market at 22% implied probability due to his consistent ball-striking and recent FedEx St. Jude victory, though a mid-season illness and T12 finish at the BMW Championship have kept his edge modest. Viktor Hovland sits second at 16% after strong early-round putting at East Lake and a Travelers playoff win over Scheffler, while Chris Gotterup, Collin Morikawa, and Ryan Gerard cluster around 10% on the strength of 2026 form and course history. The tightly bunched probabilities reflect a deep 30-player field where East Lake rewards precision around the greens and approach play, with no single golfer establishing a dominant lead after two rounds and multiple contenders retaining realistic paths based on recent scoring averages and strokes-gained metrics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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