Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 TOUR Championship at East Lake as the clear market leader at 22% implied probability, driven by his FedEx Cup points lead, TOUR-leading scoring average and greens-in-regulation marks, and an eight-shot FedEx St. Jude victory earlier in the playoffs despite a recent T12 at the BMW Championship while ill. Rory McIlroy sits second at 10% on the strength of his Masters title, three prior East Lake wins, and a strong third-place BMW finish that sharpened his form. Wyndham Clark, fresh off a BMW victory, Sam Burns, and Xander Schauffele round out the top tier, reflecting recent hot streaks and solid season-long consistency among an otherwise balanced field of 30 players who start at even par.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 22%
Rory McIlroy 9%
Xander Schauffele 7%
Sam Burns 6.3%
$62,627 Vol.
$62,627 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
Scottie Scheffler
22%
Rory McIlroy
9%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Sam Burns
6%
Wyndham Clark
5%
Collin Morikawa
4%
Chris Gotterup
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Ludvig Aberg
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Russell Henley
3%
Kristoffer Reitan
3%
Viktor Hovland
3%
Akshay Bhatia
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Si Woo Kim
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Ryan Gerard
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Tom Kim
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Alex Smalley
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Adam Scott
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 22%
Rory McIlroy 9%
Xander Schauffele 7%
Sam Burns 6.3%
$62,627 Vol.
$62,627 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
Scottie Scheffler
$5,103 Vol.
22%
Rory McIlroy
$4,078 Vol.
9%
Xander Schauffele
$20 Vol.
7%
Sam Burns
$9,786 Vol.
6%
Wyndham Clark
$16 Vol.
5%
Collin Morikawa
$10,132 Vol.
4%
Chris Gotterup
$5,489 Vol.
4%
Cameron Young
$500 Vol.
4%
Ludvig Aberg
$500 Vol.
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
$523 Vol.
4%
Russell Henley
$13,008 Vol.
3%
Kristoffer Reitan
$3,152 Vol.
3%
Viktor Hovland
$1,242 Vol.
3%
Akshay Bhatia
$1,000 Vol.
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
$0 Vol.
3%
Si Woo Kim
$0 Vol.
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
$0 Vol.
2%
Ryan Gerard
$0 Vol.
2%
Justin Rose
$500 Vol.
2%
Tom Kim
$5,759 Vol.
2%
Min Woo Lee
$401 Vol.
2%
Alex Smalley
$0 Vol.
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
$0 Vol.
1%
Adam Scott
$207 Vol.
1%
J.J. Spaun
$662 Vol.
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
$510 Vol.
1%
Ryan Fox
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 TOUR Championship at East Lake as the clear market leader at 22% implied probability, driven by his FedEx Cup points lead, TOUR-leading scoring average and greens-in-regulation marks, and an eight-shot FedEx St. Jude victory earlier in the playoffs despite a recent T12 at the BMW Championship while ill. Rory McIlroy sits second at 10% on the strength of his Masters title, three prior East Lake wins, and a strong third-place BMW finish that sharpened his form. Wyndham Clark, fresh off a BMW victory, Sam Burns, and Xander Schauffele round out the top tier, reflecting recent hot streaks and solid season-long consistency among an otherwise balanced field of 30 players who start at even par.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$62,627End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 TOUR Championship at East Lake as the clear market leader at 22% implied probability, driven by his FedEx Cup points lead, TOUR-leading scoring average and greens-in-regulation marks, and an eight-shot FedEx St. Jude victory earlier in the playoffs despite a recent T12 at the BMW Championship while ill. Rory McIlroy sits second at 10% on the strength of his Masters title, three prior East Lake wins, and a strong third-place BMW finish that sharpened his form. Wyndham Clark, fresh off a BMW victory, Sam Burns, and Xander Schauffele round out the top tier, reflecting recent hot streaks and solid season-long consistency among an otherwise balanced field of 30 players who start at even par.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$62,627End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 TOUR Championship at East Lake as the clear market leader at 22% implied probability, driven by his FedEx Cup points lead, TOUR-leading scoring average and greens-in-regulation marks, and an eight-shot FedEx St. Jude victory earlier in the playoffs despite a recent T12 at the BMW Championship while ill. Rory McIlroy sits second at 10% on the strength of his Masters title, three prior East Lake wins, and a strong third-place BMW finish that sharpened his form. Wyndham Clark, fresh off a BMW victory, Sam Burns, and Xander Schauffele round out the top tier, reflecting recent hot streaks and solid season-long consistency among an otherwise balanced field of 30 players who start at even par.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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