**Bank Rate at the Bank of England’s November 2026 meeting is most likely to hold steady at the current 3.75% level, reflecting trader consensus around subdued second-round inflation effects despite volatile energy prices.** Recent UK CPI data showed inflation at 2.6% in June before rising modestly to around 2.9% in July, with the July Monetary Policy Report highlighting an energy shock from Middle East tensions that has kept crude and refined product prices elevated and uncertain in their pass-through. Governor Andrew Bailey noted subdued wage and price pressures alongside a softening labor market in late August comments, aligning with the MPC’s 6-3 hold decision in July and market-implied paths that see limited tightening priced in before year-end. This positioning leaves modest room for a 25 basis point hike if commodity pressures intensify further, while downside moves remain low-probability given the data-dependent stance ahead of the September 17 meeting and subsequent releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo change 77%
25 bps increase 13%
25 bps decrease 4.3%
50+ bps increase 1.6%
$23,542 Vol.
$23,542 Vol.
Nov 5, 2026
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
4%
No change
77%
25 bps increase
13%
50+ bps increase
2%
No change 77%
25 bps increase 13%
25 bps decrease 4.3%
50+ bps increase 1.6%
$23,542 Vol.
$23,542 Vol.
Nov 5, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$2,052 Vol.
1%
25 bps decrease
$1,470 Vol.
4%
No change
$11,297 Vol.
77%
25 bps increase
$6,021 Vol.
13%
50+ bps increase
$2,702 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.**Bank Rate at the Bank of England’s November 2026 meeting is most likely to hold steady at the current 3.75% level, reflecting trader consensus around subdued second-round inflation effects despite volatile energy prices.** Recent UK CPI data showed inflation at 2.6% in June before rising modestly to around 2.9% in July, with the July Monetary Policy Report highlighting an energy shock from Middle East tensions that has kept crude and refined product prices elevated and uncertain in their pass-through. Governor Andrew Bailey noted subdued wage and price pressures alongside a softening labor market in late August comments, aligning with the MPC’s 6-3 hold decision in July and market-implied paths that see limited tightening priced in before year-end. This positioning leaves modest room for a 25 basis point hike if commodity pressures intensify further, while downside moves remain low-probability given the data-dependent stance ahead of the September 17 meeting and subsequent releases.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Volume
$23,542End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.**Bank Rate at the Bank of England’s November 2026 meeting is most likely to hold steady at the current 3.75% level, reflecting trader consensus around subdued second-round inflation effects despite volatile energy prices.** Recent UK CPI data showed inflation at 2.6% in June before rising modestly to around 2.9% in July, with the July Monetary Policy Report highlighting an energy shock from Middle East tensions that has kept crude and refined product prices elevated and uncertain in their pass-through. Governor Andrew Bailey noted subdued wage and price pressures alongside a softening labor market in late August comments, aligning with the MPC’s 6-3 hold decision in July and market-implied paths that see limited tightening priced in before year-end. This positioning leaves modest room for a 25 basis point hike if commodity pressures intensify further, while downside moves remain low-probability given the data-dependent stance ahead of the September 17 meeting and subsequent releases.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Volume
$23,542End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Bank Rate at the Bank of England’s November 2026 meeting is most likely to hold steady at the current 3.75% level, reflecting trader consensus around subdued second-round inflation effects despite volatile energy prices.** Recent UK CPI data showed inflation at 2.6% in June before rising modestly to around 2.9% in July, with the July Monetary Policy Report highlighting an energy shock from Middle East tensions that has kept crude and refined product prices elevated and uncertain in their pass-through. Governor Andrew Bailey noted subdued wage and price pressures alongside a softening labor market in late August comments, aligning with the MPC’s 6-3 hold decision in July and market-implied paths that see limited tightening priced in before year-end. This positioning leaves modest room for a 25 basis point hike if commodity pressures intensify further, while downside moves remain low-probability given the data-dependent stance ahead of the September 17 meeting and subsequent releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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