**The Bank of Israel’s Monetary Committee is widely expected to hold the policy rate at 3.5% at its upcoming decision (originally slated for late August but shifted to September 1, 2026).** July 2026 CPI data showed annual inflation easing to 1.5%—its lowest level since 2021 and comfortably inside the 1–3% target range—following three 25-basis-point cuts earlier in the year that brought the rate from 4.25% to the current level. With inflation now near the lower end of the band and the central bank’s July forecast projecting 1.8% for both 2026 and 2027, alongside an expected year-ahead rate of 3%, the immediate case for further easing has weakened. Analyst commentary highlights a tight labor market, lingering geopolitical uncertainty, and the absence of urgent disinflationary pressure as reasons a pause is the base case, even as longer-term projections anticipate additional easing by early 2027. Market-implied odds of 88.5% for no change reflect this data-driven caution, while the low probabilities attached to a 25 bp cut or hike underscore limited conviction for near-term policy shifts absent fresh surprises in upcoming inflation prints or fiscal developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo Change 89%
25 bps cut 13%
50+ bps cut <1%
25 bps hike <1%
$121,067 Vol.
$121,067 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
50+ bps cut
<1%
25 bps cut
13%
No Change
89%
25 bps hike
<1%
50+ bps hike
<1%
No Change 89%
25 bps cut 13%
50+ bps cut <1%
25 bps hike <1%
$121,067 Vol.
$121,067 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
50+ bps cut
$8,290 Vol.
<1%
25 bps cut
$34,936 Vol.
13%
No Change
$69,645 Vol.
89%
25 bps hike
$5,401 Vol.
<1%
50+ bps hike
$2,796 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Israel Monetary Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.**The Bank of Israel’s Monetary Committee is widely expected to hold the policy rate at 3.5% at its upcoming decision (originally slated for late August but shifted to September 1, 2026).**
July 2026 CPI data showed annual inflation easing to 1.5%—its lowest level since 2021 and comfortably inside the 1–3% target range—following three 25-basis-point cuts earlier in the year that brought the rate from 4.25% to the current level. With inflation now near the lower end of the band and the central bank’s July forecast projecting 1.8% for both 2026 and 2027, alongside an expected year-ahead rate of 3%, the immediate case for further easing has weakened.
Analyst commentary highlights a tight labor market, lingering geopolitical uncertainty, and the absence of urgent disinflationary pressure as reasons a pause is the base case, even as longer-term projections anticipate additional easing by early 2027. Market-implied odds of 88.5% for no change reflect this data-driven caution, while the low probabilities attached to a 25 bp cut or hike underscore limited conviction for near-term policy shifts absent fresh surprises in upcoming inflation prints or fiscal developments.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Israel Monetary Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Volume
$121,067End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Israel Monetary Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.**The Bank of Israel’s Monetary Committee is widely expected to hold the policy rate at 3.5% at its upcoming decision (originally slated for late August but shifted to September 1, 2026).**
July 2026 CPI data showed annual inflation easing to 1.5%—its lowest level since 2021 and comfortably inside the 1–3% target range—following three 25-basis-point cuts earlier in the year that brought the rate from 4.25% to the current level. With inflation now near the lower end of the band and the central bank’s July forecast projecting 1.8% for both 2026 and 2027, alongside an expected year-ahead rate of 3%, the immediate case for further easing has weakened.
Analyst commentary highlights a tight labor market, lingering geopolitical uncertainty, and the absence of urgent disinflationary pressure as reasons a pause is the base case, even as longer-term projections anticipate additional easing by early 2027. Market-implied odds of 88.5% for no change reflect this data-driven caution, while the low probabilities attached to a 25 bp cut or hike underscore limited conviction for near-term policy shifts absent fresh surprises in upcoming inflation prints or fiscal developments.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Israel Monetary Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Volume
$121,067End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The Bank of Israel’s Monetary Committee is widely expected to hold the policy rate at 3.5% at its upcoming decision (originally slated for late August but shifted to September 1, 2026).** July 2026 CPI data showed annual inflation easing to 1.5%—its lowest level since 2021 and comfortably inside the 1–3% target range—following three 25-basis-point cuts earlier in the year that brought the rate from 4.25% to the current level. With inflation now near the lower end of the band and the central bank’s July forecast projecting 1.8% for both 2026 and 2027, alongside an expected year-ahead rate of 3%, the immediate case for further easing has weakened. Analyst commentary highlights a tight labor market, lingering geopolitical uncertainty, and the absence of urgent disinflationary pressure as reasons a pause is the base case, even as longer-term projections anticipate additional easing by early 2027. Market-implied odds of 88.5% for no change reflect this data-driven caution, while the low probabilities attached to a 25 bp cut or hike underscore limited conviction for near-term policy shifts absent fresh surprises in upcoming inflation prints or fiscal developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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