Recent inflation readings have settled at 1.5 percent in July, comfortably inside the Bank of Israel’s 1-3 percent target range and supporting the 3.5 percent policy rate established after the July cut. Traders price a high probability of no change at the September 1 decision because the central bank has already eased three times this year, the shekel shows volatility, and fiscal risks from potential defense-budget increases could rekindle price pressures. The Monetary Committee’s forward guidance continues to tie the rate path to inflation stability, economic activity, and geopolitical developments, leaving limited room for an immediate further reduction or reversal absent fresh data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo Change 89%
Decrease 12%
Increase <1%
$72,775 Vol.
$72,775 Vol.
Decrease
12%
No Change
89%
Increase
<1%
No Change 89%
Decrease 12%
Increase <1%
$72,775 Vol.
$72,775 Vol.
Decrease
12%
No Change
89%
Increase
<1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation readings have settled at 1.5 percent in July, comfortably inside the Bank of Israel’s 1-3 percent target range and supporting the 3.5 percent policy rate established after the July cut. Traders price a high probability of no change at the September 1 decision because the central bank has already eased three times this year, the shekel shows volatility, and fiscal risks from potential defense-budget increases could rekindle price pressures. The Monetary Committee’s forward guidance continues to tie the rate path to inflation stability, economic activity, and geopolitical developments, leaving limited room for an immediate further reduction or reversal absent fresh data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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