Build-A-Bear Workshop’s strong historical pattern of EPS beats underpins the 84% market-implied probability of a beat in the fiscal second quarter ending August 1. The retailer exceeded consensus by wide margins in recent periods, including a $1.03 adjusted EPS versus $0.76 estimates in Q1, driven by gross-margin expansion, cost discipline, and tariff-related benefits that offset softer retail traffic and e-commerce demand. Commercial and wholesale channels continue to deliver double-digit growth, supporting overall profitability despite lowered full-year revenue guidance and a consensus EPS estimate near $0.66–$0.70 for the current quarter. The August 27 earnings release and conference call represent the immediate catalyst that will test whether these margin and segment trends persist.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Build-A-Bear Workshop releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Build-A-Bear Workshop releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Resolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Build-A-Bear Workshop’s strong historical pattern of EPS beats underpins the 84% market-implied probability of a beat in the fiscal second quarter ending August 1. The retailer exceeded consensus by wide margins in recent periods, including a $1.03 adjusted EPS versus $0.76 estimates in Q1, driven by gross-margin expansion, cost discipline, and tariff-related benefits that offset softer retail traffic and e-commerce demand. Commercial and wholesale channels continue to deliver double-digit growth, supporting overall profitability despite lowered full-year revenue guidance and a consensus EPS estimate near $0.66–$0.70 for the current quarter. The August 27 earnings release and conference call represent the immediate catalyst that will test whether these margin and segment trends persist.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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