Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" commands overwhelming trader consensus at 93.3% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 top spot the week of September 26, reflecting its commanding chart trajectory, sustained streaming momentum, and promotional push that have established it as the clear frontrunner. This positioning aligns with historical patterns where tracks maintaining strong radio airplay and platform metrics lock in number-one status ahead of the tracking week close. Potential upsets remain possible if a major release from artists like Taylor Swift or Ariana Grande generates exceptional debut numbers or if late surges in sales data shift the final tallies before the chart locks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBillboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of September 26
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of September 26
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 93.3%
Boston - Stella Lefty 2.8%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 2.8%
Be Her - Ella Langley 2.6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
93%
Boston - Stella Lefty
3%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
3%
Be Her - Ella Langley
3%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
3%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
3%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 93.3%
Boston - Stella Lefty 2.8%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 2.8%
Be Her - Ella Langley 2.6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
$1,278 Vol.
93%
Boston - Stella Lefty
$12 Vol.
3%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
$12 Vol.
3%
Be Her - Ella Langley
$312 Vol.
3%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
$312 Vol.
3%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
$312 Vol.
3%
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 26, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" commands overwhelming trader consensus at 93.3% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 top spot the week of September 26, reflecting its commanding chart trajectory, sustained streaming momentum, and promotional push that have established it as the clear frontrunner. This positioning aligns with historical patterns where tracks maintaining strong radio airplay and platform metrics lock in number-one status ahead of the tracking week close. Potential upsets remain possible if a major release from artists like Taylor Swift or Ariana Grande generates exceptional debut numbers or if late surges in sales data shift the final tallies before the chart locks.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 26, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 26, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Volume
$2,238End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 26, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" commands overwhelming trader consensus at 93.3% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 top spot the week of September 26, reflecting its commanding chart trajectory, sustained streaming momentum, and promotional push that have established it as the clear frontrunner. This positioning aligns with historical patterns where tracks maintaining strong radio airplay and platform metrics lock in number-one status ahead of the tracking week close. Potential upsets remain possible if a major release from artists like Taylor Swift or Ariana Grande generates exceptional debut numbers or if late surges in sales data shift the final tallies before the chart locks.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 26, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 26, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$2,238End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" commands overwhelming trader consensus at 93.3% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 top spot the week of September 26, reflecting its commanding chart trajectory, sustained streaming momentum, and promotional push that have established it as the clear frontrunner. This positioning aligns with historical patterns where tracks maintaining strong radio airplay and platform metrics lock in number-one status ahead of the tracking week close. Potential upsets remain possible if a major release from artists like Taylor Swift or Ariana Grande generates exceptional debut numbers or if late surges in sales data shift the final tallies before the chart locks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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