The wide-open 2028 Democratic presidential field, with early polls showing Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez atop fragmented support ahead of the 2026 midterms, leaves VP nominee odds dispersed as traders assess ticket-balancing needs. Elissa Slotkin and Gretchen Whitmer lead at low double digits due to their Midwest Senate and gubernatorial profiles suited to swing-state outreach, while AOC draws backing from progressive visibility and base mobilization. Other contenders such as Andy Beshear, Jon Ossoff, and Wes Moore trade on red-state or Senate experience that could unify coalitions or add geographic diversity. Consolidation remains limited by many listed figures' presidential ambitions, uncertain nominee identity, and the long timeline to convention, with shifts likely tied to post-midterm polling trends, primary dynamics, or signals on ideological and demographic priorities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedElissa Slotkin 13.0%
Gretchen Whitmer 11.4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11%
Pete Buttigieg 6.3%
$87,771 Vol.
$87,771 Vol.
Elissa Slotkin
13%
Gretchen Whitmer
11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
Pete Buttigieg
6%
James Talarico
6%
Jon Ossoff
5%
Andy Beshear
5%
Phil Murphy
5%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
Raphael Warnock
4%
Wes Moore
4%
Ro Khanna
4%
Mark Kelly
4%
Jon Stewart
3%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Roy Cooper
3%
Josh Shapiro
3%
Andrew Yang
3%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Bernie Sanders
2%
Rahm Emanuel
2%
LeBron James
2%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Tim Walz
2%
Barack Obama
2%
Hillary Clinton
2%
Kim Kardashian
2%
Jared Polis
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Kamala Harris
1%
George Clooney
1%
Chris Murphy
1%
Mark Cuban
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Stephen A. Smith
<1%
Gina Raimondo
<1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
Hunter Biden
<1%
Elissa Slotkin 13.0%
Gretchen Whitmer 11.4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11%
Pete Buttigieg 6.3%
$87,771 Vol.
$87,771 Vol.
Elissa Slotkin
13%
Gretchen Whitmer
11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
Pete Buttigieg
6%
James Talarico
6%
Jon Ossoff
5%
Andy Beshear
5%
Phil Murphy
5%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
Raphael Warnock
4%
Wes Moore
4%
Ro Khanna
4%
Mark Kelly
4%
Jon Stewart
3%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Roy Cooper
3%
Josh Shapiro
3%
Andrew Yang
3%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Bernie Sanders
2%
Rahm Emanuel
2%
LeBron James
2%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Tim Walz
2%
Barack Obama
2%
Hillary Clinton
2%
Kim Kardashian
2%
Jared Polis
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Kamala Harris
1%
George Clooney
1%
Chris Murphy
1%
Mark Cuban
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Stephen A. Smith
<1%
Gina Raimondo
<1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
Hunter Biden
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The wide-open 2028 Democratic presidential field, with early polls showing Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez atop fragmented support ahead of the 2026 midterms, leaves VP nominee odds dispersed as traders assess ticket-balancing needs. Elissa Slotkin and Gretchen Whitmer lead at low double digits due to their Midwest Senate and gubernatorial profiles suited to swing-state outreach, while AOC draws backing from progressive visibility and base mobilization. Other contenders such as Andy Beshear, Jon Ossoff, and Wes Moore trade on red-state or Senate experience that could unify coalitions or add geographic diversity. Consolidation remains limited by many listed figures' presidential ambitions, uncertain nominee identity, and the long timeline to convention, with shifts likely tied to post-midterm polling trends, primary dynamics, or signals on ideological and demographic priorities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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