The FedEx Open de France at Le Golf National begins Thursday with a deep field where no player stands out for the first-round lead. The Albatros course, returning after recent renovations to holes four through six, rewards accurate ball-striking and course management on a layout that has produced varied opening-round leaders in prior editions. Recent form from the BMW PGA Championship and Danish Golf Championship shows several DP World Tour regulars in solid shape, yet single-round variance remains high, with birdie opportunities on reachable par-5s and risk-reward par-4s allowing any contender from the large entry list—including home favorites and recent winners—to post a low score. Trader pricing reflects this broad distribution of implied probabilities across dozens of names, underscoring the competitive parity and limited edge from pre-tournament data alone.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAdria Arnaus 99%
Adrian Meronk 99%
Adrian Otaegui 99%
Adrien Saddier 99%
Adria Arnaus
99%
Adrian Meronk
99%
Adrian Otaegui
99%
Adrien Saddier
99%
Albin Bergstroem
99%
Alexander Levy
99%
Andreas Halvorsen
99%
Andres Gallegos
99%
Angel Ayora
99%
Angel Hidalgo
99%
Anthony Quayle
99%
Antoine Rozner
99%
Ashun Wu
99%
Ben Schmidt
99%
Benjamin Follett-Smith
99%
Benjamin Hebert
99%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
99%
Callum Tarren
99%
Calum Hill
99%
Cameron Adam
99%
Cameron Smith
99%
Connor McKinney
99%
Brandon Stone
96%
Clement Charmasson
53%
Daniel Bradbury
50%
Daniel Gavins
50%
Daniel van Tonder
50%
Daniel Young
50%
David Law
50%
David Micheluzzi
50%
David Ravetto
50%
Eddie Pepperell
50%
Edoardo Molinari
50%
Elvis Smylie
50%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
50%
Ewen Ferguson
50%
Fabrizio Zanotti
50%
Filippo Celli
50%
Francesco Laporta
50%
Frankie Capan
50%
Freddy Schott
50%
Frederic Lacroix
50%
Frederico Biondi
50%
Grant Forrest
50%
Gregorio De Leo
50%
Guido Migliozzi
50%
Hennie Du Plessis
50%
Hugo Townsend
50%
Ignacio Elvira
50%
Jack Buchanan
50%
Jack Senior
50%
Jack Yule
50%
James Morrison
50%
Jason Scrivener
50%
Jeff Winther
50%
Jens Dantorp
50%
Jeong-Weon Ko
50%
Jeremy Paul
50%
Joel Girrbach
50%
Johannes Veerman
50%
Joost Luiten
50%
Jordan Gumberg
50%
Joseph Dean
50%
Julien Guerrier
50%
Julien Sale
50%
Jung-Hwan Lee
50%
Kazuma Kobori
50%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
50%
Kota Kaneko
50%
Kristoffer Reitan
50%
Manuel Elvira
50%
Marcel Siem
50%
Marcus Armitage
50%
Marcus Kinhult
50%
Martin Couvra
50%
Mathieu Decottignies-Lafon
50%
Matteo Manassero
50%
Matthew Baldwin
50%
Matthew Fitzpatrick
50%
Matthieu Pavon
50%
Maxime Legros
50%
Maximilian Kieffer
50%
Maximilian Steinlechner
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Michael Mjaaseth
50%
Mike Toorop
50%
Nathan Kimsey
50%
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
50%
Niklas Lemke
50%
Andy Sullivan
49%
Cohen Trolio
49%
Dylan Naidoo
49%
Joshua Berry
49%
Bud Cauley
46%
Ivan Cantero
28%
Euan Walker
27%
Felix Mory
27%
Ludvig Aaberg
27%
Darius van Driel
25%
Daniel Rodrigues
16%
Adria Arnaus 99%
Adrian Meronk 99%
Adrian Otaegui 99%
Adrien Saddier 99%
Adria Arnaus
99%
Adrian Meronk
99%
Adrian Otaegui
99%
Adrien Saddier
99%
Albin Bergstroem
99%
Alexander Levy
99%
Andreas Halvorsen
99%
Andres Gallegos
99%
Angel Ayora
99%
Angel Hidalgo
99%
Anthony Quayle
99%
Antoine Rozner
99%
Ashun Wu
99%
Ben Schmidt
99%
Benjamin Follett-Smith
99%
Benjamin Hebert
99%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
99%
Callum Tarren
99%
Calum Hill
99%
Cameron Adam
99%
Cameron Smith
99%
Connor McKinney
99%
Brandon Stone
96%
Clement Charmasson
53%
Daniel Bradbury
50%
Daniel Gavins
50%
Daniel van Tonder
50%
Daniel Young
50%
David Law
50%
David Micheluzzi
50%
David Ravetto
50%
Eddie Pepperell
50%
Edoardo Molinari
50%
Elvis Smylie
50%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
50%
Ewen Ferguson
50%
Fabrizio Zanotti
50%
Filippo Celli
50%
Francesco Laporta
50%
Frankie Capan
50%
Freddy Schott
50%
Frederic Lacroix
50%
Frederico Biondi
50%
Grant Forrest
50%
Gregorio De Leo
50%
Guido Migliozzi
50%
Hennie Du Plessis
50%
Hugo Townsend
50%
Ignacio Elvira
50%
Jack Buchanan
50%
Jack Senior
50%
Jack Yule
50%
James Morrison
50%
Jason Scrivener
50%
Jeff Winther
50%
Jens Dantorp
50%
Jeong-Weon Ko
50%
Jeremy Paul
50%
Joel Girrbach
50%
Johannes Veerman
50%
Joost Luiten
50%
Jordan Gumberg
50%
Joseph Dean
50%
Julien Guerrier
50%
Julien Sale
50%
Jung-Hwan Lee
50%
Kazuma Kobori
50%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
50%
Kota Kaneko
50%
Kristoffer Reitan
50%
Manuel Elvira
50%
Marcel Siem
50%
Marcus Armitage
50%
Marcus Kinhult
50%
Martin Couvra
50%
Mathieu Decottignies-Lafon
50%
Matteo Manassero
50%
Matthew Baldwin
50%
Matthew Fitzpatrick
50%
Matthieu Pavon
50%
Maxime Legros
50%
Maximilian Kieffer
50%
Maximilian Steinlechner
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Michael Mjaaseth
50%
Mike Toorop
50%
Nathan Kimsey
50%
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
50%
Niklas Lemke
50%
Andy Sullivan
49%
Cohen Trolio
49%
Dylan Naidoo
49%
Joshua Berry
49%
Bud Cauley
46%
Ivan Cantero
28%
Euan Walker
27%
Felix Mory
27%
Ludvig Aaberg
27%
Darius van Driel
25%
Daniel Rodrigues
16%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 11:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Resolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The FedEx Open de France at Le Golf National begins Thursday with a deep field where no player stands out for the first-round lead. The Albatros course, returning after recent renovations to holes four through six, rewards accurate ball-striking and course management on a layout that has produced varied opening-round leaders in prior editions. Recent form from the BMW PGA Championship and Danish Golf Championship shows several DP World Tour regulars in solid shape, yet single-round variance remains high, with birdie opportunities on reachable par-5s and risk-reward par-4s allowing any contender from the large entry list—including home favorites and recent winners—to post a low score. Trader pricing reflects this broad distribution of implied probabilities across dozens of names, underscoring the competitive parity and limited edge from pre-tournament data alone.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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