The par-3 14th hole at Wentworth Club has produced aces in multiple past BMW PGA Championship editions, creating a baseline expectation for at least one during the four rounds of this Rolex Series event. A deep 144-player field featuring major winners and consistent performers increases the volume of attempts on the 163-yard target, yet variable wind, firm greens, and pin placements can limit conversion rates. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even implied probability for no ace accounts for these variables alongside the course's historical ace frequency. A shift toward yes could follow confirmed calm conditions or standout ball-striking rounds early in the week, while sustained gusts or conservative approaches on the signature hole would reinforce the slight lean toward no.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated>99% chance
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
>99% chance
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).The par-3 14th hole at Wentworth Club has produced aces in multiple past BMW PGA Championship editions, creating a baseline expectation for at least one during the four rounds of this Rolex Series event. A deep 144-player field featuring major winners and consistent performers increases the volume of attempts on the 163-yard target, yet variable wind, firm greens, and pin placements can limit conversion rates. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even implied probability for no ace accounts for these variables alongside the course's historical ace frequency. A shift toward yes could follow confirmed calm conditions or standout ball-striking rounds early in the week, while sustained gusts or conservative approaches on the signature hole would reinforce the slight lean toward no.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 11:12 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 21, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 11:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).The par-3 14th hole at Wentworth Club has produced aces in multiple past BMW PGA Championship editions, creating a baseline expectation for at least one during the four rounds of this Rolex Series event. A deep 144-player field featuring major winners and consistent performers increases the volume of attempts on the 163-yard target, yet variable wind, firm greens, and pin placements can limit conversion rates. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even implied probability for no ace accounts for these variables alongside the course's historical ace frequency. A shift toward yes could follow confirmed calm conditions or standout ball-striking rounds early in the week, while sustained gusts or conservative approaches on the signature hole would reinforce the slight lean toward no.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 21, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 11:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The par-3 14th hole at Wentworth Club has produced aces in multiple past BMW PGA Championship editions, creating a baseline expectation for at least one during the four rounds of this Rolex Series event. A deep 144-player field featuring major winners and consistent performers increases the volume of attempts on the 163-yard target, yet variable wind, firm greens, and pin placements can limit conversion rates. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even implied probability for no ace accounts for these variables alongside the course's historical ace frequency. A shift toward yes could follow confirmed calm conditions or standout ball-striking rounds early in the week, while sustained gusts or conservative approaches on the signature hole would reinforce the slight lean toward no.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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