The closely balanced 50% implied probability for a hole-in-one at the FedEx Open de France reflects the large field of over 140 players contesting four rounds on Le Golf National’s renovated Albatros course, which features multiple reachable par-3s despite recent redesigns to holes 4-6 and several greens. Strong entrants including Tommy Fleetwood, Viktor Hovland, Ludvig Åberg, and defending champion Michael Kim increase ace potential through volume of shots, while the just-completed BMW PGA Championship saw Frédéric Lacroix record the first DP World Tour hole-in-one there. Uncertainties around the post-renovation setup, pin placements, and early-week weather conditions maintain equilibrium ahead of Thursday’s start.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated50% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 27, 2026
50% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 27, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 Open de France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, or postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).The closely balanced 50% implied probability for a hole-in-one at the FedEx Open de France reflects the large field of over 140 players contesting four rounds on Le Golf National’s renovated Albatros course, which features multiple reachable par-3s despite recent redesigns to holes 4-6 and several greens. Strong entrants including Tommy Fleetwood, Viktor Hovland, Ludvig Åberg, and defending champion Michael Kim increase ace potential through volume of shots, while the just-completed BMW PGA Championship saw Frédéric Lacroix record the first DP World Tour hole-in-one there. Uncertainties around the post-renovation setup, pin placements, and early-week weather conditions maintain equilibrium ahead of Thursday’s start.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 Open de France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, or postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, or postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 11:12 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 11:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 Open de France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, or postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).The closely balanced 50% implied probability for a hole-in-one at the FedEx Open de France reflects the large field of over 140 players contesting four rounds on Le Golf National’s renovated Albatros course, which features multiple reachable par-3s despite recent redesigns to holes 4-6 and several greens. Strong entrants including Tommy Fleetwood, Viktor Hovland, Ludvig Åberg, and defending champion Michael Kim increase ace potential through volume of shots, while the just-completed BMW PGA Championship saw Frédéric Lacroix record the first DP World Tour hole-in-one there. Uncertainties around the post-renovation setup, pin placements, and early-week weather conditions maintain equilibrium ahead of Thursday’s start.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 Open de France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, or postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, or postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 11:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x65070be91...The closely balanced 50% implied probability for a hole-in-one at the FedEx Open de France reflects the large field of over 140 players contesting four rounds on Le Golf National’s renovated Albatros course, which features multiple reachable par-3s despite recent redesigns to holes 4-6 and several greens. Strong entrants including Tommy Fleetwood, Viktor Hovland, Ludvig Åberg, and defending champion Michael Kim increase ace potential through volume of shots, while the just-completed BMW PGA Championship saw Frédéric Lacroix record the first DP World Tour hole-in-one there. Uncertainties around the post-renovation setup, pin placements, and early-week weather conditions maintain equilibrium ahead of Thursday’s start.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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