OpenAI’s September 3, 2026 launch of GPT-6 Astra, positioned as its most capable large language model yet for computer use, browsing, software engineering, and cybersecurity tasks, is the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment around GPT Astra 6.1+ release markets. The model saturates key benchmarks such as FrontierMath Tier 4 and ARC-AGI-3 while delivering faster agentic workflows than the prior GPT-5.6 Sol release, with phased availability now expanding from limited enterprise testers to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, and Enterprise subscribers plus the API. Safety delays tied to July’s Hugging Face incident and heightened scrutiny over autonomous agents add uncertainty to exact timing and feature thresholds, though OpenAI’s official rollout cadence and competitive edge over rivals like Anthropic’s latest offerings reinforce strong market-implied odds for near-term OpenAI delivery of 6.1+ capabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Oct 31, 2026
October 31
30%
December 31
63%
$1 Vol.
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$0 Vol.
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$1 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s September 3, 2026 launch of GPT-6 Astra, positioned as its most capable large language model yet for computer use, browsing, software engineering, and cybersecurity tasks, is the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment around GPT Astra 6.1+ release markets. The model saturates key benchmarks such as FrontierMath Tier 4 and ARC-AGI-3 while delivering faster agentic workflows than the prior GPT-5.6 Sol release, with phased availability now expanding from limited enterprise testers to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, and Enterprise subscribers plus the API. Safety delays tied to July’s Hugging Face incident and heightened scrutiny over autonomous agents add uncertainty to exact timing and feature thresholds, though OpenAI’s official rollout cadence and competitive edge over rivals like Anthropic’s latest offerings reinforce strong market-implied odds for near-term OpenAI delivery of 6.1+ capabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$1End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s September 3, 2026 launch of GPT-6 Astra, positioned as its most capable large language model yet for computer use, browsing, software engineering, and cybersecurity tasks, is the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment around GPT Astra 6.1+ release markets. The model saturates key benchmarks such as FrontierMath Tier 4 and ARC-AGI-3 while delivering faster agentic workflows than the prior GPT-5.6 Sol release, with phased availability now expanding from limited enterprise testers to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, and Enterprise subscribers plus the API. Safety delays tied to July’s Hugging Face incident and heightened scrutiny over autonomous agents add uncertainty to exact timing and feature thresholds, though OpenAI’s official rollout cadence and competitive edge over rivals like Anthropic’s latest offerings reinforce strong market-implied odds for near-term OpenAI delivery of 6.1+ capabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s September 3, 2026 launch of GPT-6 Astra, positioned as its most capable large language model yet for computer use, browsing, software engineering, and cybersecurity tasks, is the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment around GPT Astra 6.1+ release markets. The model saturates key benchmarks such as FrontierMath Tier 4 and ARC-AGI-3 while delivering faster agentic workflows than the prior GPT-5.6 Sol release, with phased availability now expanding from limited enterprise testers to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, and Enterprise subscribers plus the API. Safety delays tied to July’s Hugging Face incident and heightened scrutiny over autonomous agents add uncertainty to exact timing and feature thresholds, though OpenAI’s official rollout cadence and competitive edge over rivals like Anthropic’s latest offerings reinforce strong market-implied odds for near-term OpenAI delivery of 6.1+ capabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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