XAI predictions & odds

Weather·Science

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$6M Vol.

$123K today

$740K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

57%

Anthropic

$6M Vol.

$123K today

$740K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·China

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

$95.9K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

60%

December 31

$95.9K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

$1M Vol.

$62.9K today

$900K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

62%

Anthropic

$1M Vol.

$62.9K today

$900K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·IPO

IPOs before 2027?

$7M Vol.

$110K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

95%

Anthropic

$7M Vol.

$110K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·China

Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?

$46.4K Vol.

$28.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

94%

December 31

$46.4K Vol.

$28.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

$142K Vol.

$98.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

31%

OpenAI

$142K Vol.

$98.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

$123K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

84%

None in 2026

$123K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Economy·Trade War

Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?

$19.3K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

27%

$19.3K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?

$1.1K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

90%

DeepSeek

$1.1K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Tech·AI

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?

$639 Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

68%

OpenAI

$639 Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Sports·Games

Shaanxi Union FC vs. Jiangxi Dingnan United - Second Half Result

$0 Vol.

$631 Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

54%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$631 Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

Tech·AI

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?

$600 Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

66%

Google

$600 Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Sports·CFB

NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing Yards Leader

$0 Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

45%

Hollywood Smothers

$0 Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

New MAI thinking model released by...?

$489 Vol.

$491 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

34%

December 31

$489 Vol.

$491 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·CFB

NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing TDs Leader

$0 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

45%

Kewan Lacy

$0 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

$426 Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

45%

September 16

$426 Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Sports·Games

Shaanxi Union FC vs. Jiangxi Dingnan United - More Markets

$362 Vol.

$79.4K Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

64%

Over

$362 Vol.

$79.4K Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

Tech·AI

Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

$52 Vol.

$371 Liq.

Ends in 10 months

56%

1450+

$52 Vol.

$371 Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Tech·AI

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by...?

$10 Vol.

$655 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

53%

September 18

$10 Vol.

$655 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Finance·DAX

DAX (DAX) Up or Down on July 29?

$60 Vol.

$598 Liq.

<1%

$60 Vol.

$598 Liq.

Sort by

Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like XAI.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for XAI that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $14.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “DAX (DAX) Up or Down on July 29?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “IPOs before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “IPOs before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 95% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on XAI predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for XAI shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “IPOs before 2027?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the XAI prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

XAI Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the XAI prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

XAI predictions & odds

Weather·Science

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$6M Vol.

$123K today

$740K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

57%

Anthropic

$6M Vol.

$123K today

$740K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·China

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

$95.9K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

60%

December 31

$95.9K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

$1M Vol.

$62.9K today

$900K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

62%

Anthropic

$1M Vol.

$62.9K today

$900K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·IPO

IPOs before 2027?

$7M Vol.

$110K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

95%

Anthropic

$7M Vol.

$110K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·China

Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?

$46.4K Vol.

$28.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

94%

December 31

$46.4K Vol.

$28.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

$142K Vol.

$98.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

31%

OpenAI

$142K Vol.

$98.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

$123K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

84%

None in 2026

$123K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Economy·Trade War

Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?

$19.3K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

27%

$19.3K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?

$1.1K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

90%

DeepSeek

$1.1K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Tech·AI

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?

$639 Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

68%

OpenAI

$639 Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Sports·Games

Shaanxi Union FC vs. Jiangxi Dingnan United - Second Half Result

$0 Vol.

$631 Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

54%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$631 Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

Tech·AI

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?

$600 Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

66%

Google

$600 Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Sports·CFB

NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing Yards Leader

$0 Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

45%

Hollywood Smothers

$0 Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

New MAI thinking model released by...?

$489 Vol.

$491 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

34%

December 31

$489 Vol.

$491 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·CFB

NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing TDs Leader

$0 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

45%

Kewan Lacy

$0 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

$426 Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

45%

September 16

$426 Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Sports·Games

Shaanxi Union FC vs. Jiangxi Dingnan United - More Markets

$362 Vol.

$79.4K Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

64%

Over

$362 Vol.

$79.4K Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

Tech·AI

Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

$52 Vol.

$371 Liq.

Ends in 10 months

56%

1450+

$52 Vol.

$371 Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Tech·AI

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by...?

$10 Vol.

$655 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

53%

September 18

$10 Vol.

$655 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Finance·DAX

DAX (DAX) Up or Down on July 29?

$60 Vol.

$598 Liq.

<1%

$60 Vol.

$598 Liq.

XAI predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of XAI prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do XAI markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top XAI prediction?

Why use Polymarket for XAI predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s XAI odds?

Can I track XAI predictions without trading?

How do I get started with XAI markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of XAI prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do XAI markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top XAI prediction?

Why use Polymarket for XAI predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s XAI odds?

Can I track XAI predictions without trading?

How do I get started with XAI markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

XAI predictions & odds