DeepSeek's commanding 90% implied probability stems from its V4 Flash variants consistently processing the highest token volumes on OpenRouter through the late August period, driven by competitive pricing, a 1M-token context window, and strong results on agentic and coding workloads via its MoE architecture. Developer adoption has accelerated as these models deliver production-grade performance at a fraction of the cost of U.S. alternatives like OpenAI's GPT-5.6 series or Anthropic's offerings, with Chinese labs overall capturing the majority of gateway traffic for weeks. Recent 0731 updates further boosted throughput, while broader platform data shows sustained preference for cost-efficient options amid rapid iteration. The market resolves on the week of August 31–September 6 share, leaving limited room for late swings unless a major competitor launches an unexpected discount or feature.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDeepSeek 90%
Tencent 5%
Nvidia 5%
Anthropic 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
DeepSeek
90%
Tencent
5%
Nvidia
5%
Anthropic
5%
4%
Meta
4%
Xiaomi
4%
MiniMax
3%
Qwen
1%
Z.ai
1%
OpenAI
1%
xAI
1%
DeepSeek 90%
Tencent 5%
Nvidia 5%
Anthropic 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
DeepSeek
$350 Vol.
90%
Tencent
$70 Vol.
5%
Nvidia
$113 Vol.
5%
Anthropic
$65 Vol.
5%
$70 Vol.
4%
Meta
$40 Vol.
4%
Xiaomi
$70 Vol.
4%
MiniMax
$70 Vol.
3%
Qwen
$68 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$68 Vol.
1%
OpenAI
$68 Vol.
1%
xAI
$68 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.DeepSeek's commanding 90% implied probability stems from its V4 Flash variants consistently processing the highest token volumes on OpenRouter through the late August period, driven by competitive pricing, a 1M-token context window, and strong results on agentic and coding workloads via its MoE architecture. Developer adoption has accelerated as these models deliver production-grade performance at a fraction of the cost of U.S. alternatives like OpenAI's GPT-5.6 series or Anthropic's offerings, with Chinese labs overall capturing the majority of gateway traffic for weeks. Recent 0731 updates further boosted throughput, while broader platform data shows sustained preference for cost-efficient options amid rapid iteration. The market resolves on the week of August 31–September 6 share, leaving limited room for late swings unless a major competitor launches an unexpected discount or feature.
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Volume
$1,122End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the AI lab with the highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.DeepSeek's commanding 90% implied probability stems from its V4 Flash variants consistently processing the highest token volumes on OpenRouter through the late August period, driven by competitive pricing, a 1M-token context window, and strong results on agentic and coding workloads via its MoE architecture. Developer adoption has accelerated as these models deliver production-grade performance at a fraction of the cost of U.S. alternatives like OpenAI's GPT-5.6 series or Anthropic's offerings, with Chinese labs overall capturing the majority of gateway traffic for weeks. Recent 0731 updates further boosted throughput, while broader platform data shows sustained preference for cost-efficient options amid rapid iteration. The market resolves on the week of August 31–September 6 share, leaving limited room for late swings unless a major competitor launches an unexpected discount or feature.
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Volume
$1,122End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...DeepSeek's commanding 90% implied probability stems from its V4 Flash variants consistently processing the highest token volumes on OpenRouter through the late August period, driven by competitive pricing, a 1M-token context window, and strong results on agentic and coding workloads via its MoE architecture. Developer adoption has accelerated as these models deliver production-grade performance at a fraction of the cost of U.S. alternatives like OpenAI's GPT-5.6 series or Anthropic's offerings, with Chinese labs overall capturing the majority of gateway traffic for weeks. Recent 0731 updates further boosted throughput, while broader platform data shows sustained preference for cost-efficient options amid rapid iteration. The market resolves on the week of August 31–September 6 share, leaving limited room for late swings unless a major competitor launches an unexpected discount or feature.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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