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Sports·Games

IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey: Pole Position

icon for IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey: Pole Position
Sports·Games

IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey: Pole Position

Christian Lundgaard 100%

Patricio O'Ward 100%

Marcus Ericsson 100%

Josef Newgarden 100%

Polymarket
NEW

Christian Lundgaard 100%

Patricio O'Ward 100%

Marcus Ericsson 100%

Josef Newgarden 100%

Polymarket
NEW

Christian Lundgaard

$0 Vol.

100%

Patricio O'Ward

$0 Vol.

100%

Marcus Ericsson

$0 Vol.

100%

Josef Newgarden

$0 Vol.

100%

Nolan Siegel

$0 Vol.

100%

Scott Dixon

$0 Vol.

100%

Alex Palou

$0 Vol.

99%

Scott McLaughlin

$0 Vol.

99%

Kyle Kirkwood

$0 Vol.

99%

Romain Grosjean

$0 Vol.

99%

Rinus Veekay

$0 Vol.

99%

Marcus Armstrong

$0 Vol.

99%

Felix Rosenqvist

$0 Vol.

99%

Louis Foster

$0 Vol.

99%

Kyffin Simpson

$0 Vol.

99%

Sting Robb

$0 Vol.

99%

Will Power

$0 Vol.

99%

Mick Schumacher

$0 Vol.

99%

Dennis Hauger

$0 Vol.

99%

David Malukas

$0 Vol.

99%

Alexander Rossi

$0 Vol.

99%

Graham Rahal

$0 Vol.

99%

Christian Rasmussen

$0 Vol.

99%

Santino Ferrucci

$0 Vol.

99%

Caio Collet

$0 Vol.

99%

Jacob Abel

$0 Vol.

99%

Helio Castroneves

$0 Vol.

99%

Conor Daly

$0 Vol.

99%

Katherine Legge

$0 Vol.

99%

Takuma Sato

$0 Vol.

99%

Ed Carpenter

$0 Vol.

99%

Jack Harvey

$0 Vol.

99%

Ryan Hunter-Reay

$0 Vol.

99%

This is a Polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by IndyCar as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey. The market will be settled based on IndyCar's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to "Yes" for that driver. The resolution source will be the official IndyCar website (indycar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.The tightly bunched implied probabilities across the field for IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey pole reflect the demanding single-lap demands of WeatherTech Raceway Laguna Seca, where the Corkscrew, elevation shifts, and technical corners reward precise setup and recent road-course form. Alex Palou’s string of 2026 poles and strong championship positioning give him consistent edge in qualifying simulations, yet Kyle Kirkwood, Scott McLaughlin, Pato O’Ward, Felix Rosenqvist, and Marcus Armstrong have posted competitive lap times in recent sessions at similar venues. With no dominant recent trend separating the group and multiple teams carrying strong chassis balance into the season finale, traders see a wide distribution of realistic outcomes for the NTT P1 Award.

This is a Polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.

If the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by IndyCar as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey. The market will be settled based on IndyCar's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to "Yes" for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official IndyCar website (indycar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.indycar.com

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a Polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by IndyCar as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey. The market will be settled based on IndyCar's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to "Yes" for that driver. The resolution source will be the official IndyCar website (indycar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a Polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by IndyCar as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey. The market will be settled based on IndyCar's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to "Yes" for that driver. The resolution source will be the official IndyCar website (indycar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.The tightly bunched implied probabilities across the field for IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey pole reflect the demanding single-lap demands of WeatherTech Raceway Laguna Seca, where the Corkscrew, elevation shifts, and technical corners reward precise setup and recent road-course form. Alex Palou’s string of 2026 poles and strong championship positioning give him consistent edge in qualifying simulations, yet Kyle Kirkwood, Scott McLaughlin, Pato O’Ward, Felix Rosenqvist, and Marcus Armstrong have posted competitive lap times in recent sessions at similar venues. With no dominant recent trend separating the group and multiple teams carrying strong chassis balance into the season finale, traders see a wide distribution of realistic outcomes for the NTT P1 Award.

This is a Polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.

If the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by IndyCar as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey. The market will be settled based on IndyCar's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to "Yes" for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official IndyCar website (indycar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.indycar.com

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a Polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by IndyCar as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey. The market will be settled based on IndyCar's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to "Yes" for that driver. The resolution source will be the official IndyCar website (indycar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey: Pole Position" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 33 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Christian Lundgaard" at 50%, followed by "Patricio O'Ward" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey: Pole Position" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey: Pole Position," browse the 33 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey: Pole Position" is "Christian Lundgaard" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Patricio O'Ward" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey: Pole Position" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.