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icon for Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

<5 92%

5-9 4.4%

60+ 4.0%

40-44 4.0%

Polymarket
NEW

<5 92%

5-9 4.4%

60+ 4.0%

40-44 4.0%

Polymarket
NEW

<5

$12 Vol.

92%

5-9

$0 Vol.

4%

10-14

$25 Vol.

1%

15-19

$31 Vol.

1%

20-24

$31 Vol.

1%

25-29

$31 Vol.

1%

30-34

$11 Vol.

2%

35-39

$31 Vol.

1%

40-44

$5 Vol.

4%

45-49

$5 Vol.

4%

50-54

$20 Vol.

1%

55-59

$20 Vol.

1%

60+

$5 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus reflects the low posting frequency of official Khamenei-branded X accounts in the post-assassination period, with activity now centered on archival quotes, religious content, and occasional media releases from offices such as @Khamenei_m rather than new leadership statements. Following the 2026 death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during Operation Roaring Lion, successor Mojtaba Khamenei maintains separate channels, and the primary accounts have shown sporadic output tied to commemorations or regional developments instead of daily engagement. This pattern aligns with reduced volume in recent weeks absent acute crises. Events such as escalated regional conflicts, major diplomatic shifts, or internal Iranian announcements within the September 22-29 window could increase output by prompting additional statements or media from the offices.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$227
End Date
Sep 29, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus reflects the low posting frequency of official Khamenei-branded X accounts in the post-assassination period, with activity now centered on archival quotes, religious content, and occasional media releases from offices such as @Khamenei_m rather than new leadership statements. Following the 2026 death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during Operation Roaring Lion, successor Mojtaba Khamenei maintains separate channels, and the primary accounts have shown sporadic output tied to commemorations or regional developments instead of daily engagement. This pattern aligns with reduced volume in recent weeks absent acute crises. Events such as escalated regional conflicts, major diplomatic shifts, or internal Iranian announcements within the September 22-29 window could increase output by prompting additional statements or media from the offices.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$227
End Date
Sep 29, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<5" at 92%, followed by "5-9" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?" is "<5" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5-9" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.