**Kristi Noem’s removal as Homeland Security Secretary in March 2026 sharply reduced any realistic prospect of House impeachment that year.** Democrats introduced articles in January citing alleged obstruction of congressional oversight, public-trust violations tied to ICE enforcement actions, and self-dealing in contracting, but the resolution remained stalled in the Republican-controlled Judiciary Committee with no GOP support. Trump’s subsequent reassignment of Noem to a lower-profile special-envoy role eliminated the high-visibility federal office that had fueled the effort. Recent developments, including her August 2026 statue unveiling in South Dakota and public statements ruling out a 2028 Senate bid, show no renewed congressional momentum or scheduled votes. Trader consensus at 97.5% “No” reflects the absence of a viable legislative path and the calendar constraints of the 119th Congress. Late-session developments, such as an unexpected change in House control or new federal appointment, remain the only narrow scenarios that could reopen consideration before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKristi Noem impeached in 2026?
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
3% chance
$21,327 Vol.
$21,327 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
3% chance
$21,327 Vol.
$21,327 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Kristi Noem’s removal as Homeland Security Secretary in March 2026 sharply reduced any realistic prospect of House impeachment that year.** Democrats introduced articles in January citing alleged obstruction of congressional oversight, public-trust violations tied to ICE enforcement actions, and self-dealing in contracting, but the resolution remained stalled in the Republican-controlled Judiciary Committee with no GOP support. Trump’s subsequent reassignment of Noem to a lower-profile special-envoy role eliminated the high-visibility federal office that had fueled the effort. Recent developments, including her August 2026 statue unveiling in South Dakota and public statements ruling out a 2028 Senate bid, show no renewed congressional momentum or scheduled votes. Trader consensus at 97.5% “No” reflects the absence of a viable legislative path and the calendar constraints of the 119th Congress. Late-session developments, such as an unexpected change in House control or new federal appointment, remain the only narrow scenarios that could reopen consideration before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
Volume
$21,327End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Kristi Noem’s removal as Homeland Security Secretary in March 2026 sharply reduced any realistic prospect of House impeachment that year.** Democrats introduced articles in January citing alleged obstruction of congressional oversight, public-trust violations tied to ICE enforcement actions, and self-dealing in contracting, but the resolution remained stalled in the Republican-controlled Judiciary Committee with no GOP support. Trump’s subsequent reassignment of Noem to a lower-profile special-envoy role eliminated the high-visibility federal office that had fueled the effort. Recent developments, including her August 2026 statue unveiling in South Dakota and public statements ruling out a 2028 Senate bid, show no renewed congressional momentum or scheduled votes. Trader consensus at 97.5% “No” reflects the absence of a viable legislative path and the calendar constraints of the 119th Congress. Late-session developments, such as an unexpected change in House control or new federal appointment, remain the only narrow scenarios that could reopen consideration before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$21,327End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Kristi Noem’s removal as Homeland Security Secretary in March 2026 sharply reduced any realistic prospect of House impeachment that year.** Democrats introduced articles in January citing alleged obstruction of congressional oversight, public-trust violations tied to ICE enforcement actions, and self-dealing in contracting, but the resolution remained stalled in the Republican-controlled Judiciary Committee with no GOP support. Trump’s subsequent reassignment of Noem to a lower-profile special-envoy role eliminated the high-visibility federal office that had fueled the effort. Recent developments, including her August 2026 statue unveiling in South Dakota and public statements ruling out a 2028 Senate bid, show no renewed congressional momentum or scheduled votes. Trader consensus at 97.5% “No” reflects the absence of a viable legislative path and the calendar constraints of the 119th Congress. Late-session developments, such as an unexpected change in House control or new federal appointment, remain the only narrow scenarios that could reopen consideration before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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