Republicans currently hold narrow majorities in both chambers of Congress, and Democratic leadership has not prioritized impeachment resolutions ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Recent articles introduced by individual Democrats, including Rep. Al Green’s August 2026 measure citing immigration enforcement and alleged abuse of power, remain stalled in committee with no path to a floor vote under the present House arithmetic. Prediction markets reflect this structural barrier, pricing only single-digit odds of House passage by December 31, 2026, while assigning substantially higher probability to later action contingent on a Democratic House takeover. Even post-midterm shifts would leave the new Congress convening only in January 2027. Bipartisan defections or an acute late-year crisis capable of altering GOP cohesion remain theoretically possible but face steep historical and procedural hurdles given partisan voting patterns on prior impeachment efforts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,009,836 Vol.
$1,009,836 Vol.
$1,009,836 Vol.
$1,009,836 Vol.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republicans currently hold narrow majorities in both chambers of Congress, and Democratic leadership has not prioritized impeachment resolutions ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Recent articles introduced by individual Democrats, including Rep. Al Green’s August 2026 measure citing immigration enforcement and alleged abuse of power, remain stalled in committee with no path to a floor vote under the present House arithmetic. Prediction markets reflect this structural barrier, pricing only single-digit odds of House passage by December 31, 2026, while assigning substantially higher probability to later action contingent on a Democratic House takeover. Even post-midterm shifts would leave the new Congress convening only in January 2027. Bipartisan defections or an acute late-year crisis capable of altering GOP cohesion remain theoretically possible but face steep historical and procedural hurdles given partisan voting patterns on prior impeachment efforts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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