Trump’s Truth Social output has averaged 19–22 posts per day through 2026, with frequent clusters of originals, quotes, and reposts that push daily totals well above the mean during policy or news cycles. Recent activity includes a 46-post burst in two hours on August 26 and ongoing late-night and early-morning sessions, consistent with patterns tied to foreign-policy statements, economic measures, and routine White House messaging. The August 25–September 1 window overlaps these established rhythms plus any mid-August catalysts still generating volume, which explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to the 200+ band while pricing lower ranges as less likely under current conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200+ 63%
180-199 17%
160-179 13%
140-159 7.0%
$10,520 Vol.
$10,520 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
3%
120-139
4%
140-159
7%
160-179
13%
180-199
17%
200+
63%
200+ 63%
180-199 17%
160-179 13%
140-159 7.0%
$10,520 Vol.
$10,520 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
40-59
$908 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$327 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$441 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$329 Vol.
3%
120-139
$378 Vol.
4%
140-159
$804 Vol.
7%
160-179
$1,047 Vol.
13%
180-199
$1,333 Vol.
17%
200+
$3,848 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s Truth Social output has averaged 19–22 posts per day through 2026, with frequent clusters of originals, quotes, and reposts that push daily totals well above the mean during policy or news cycles. Recent activity includes a 46-post burst in two hours on August 26 and ongoing late-night and early-morning sessions, consistent with patterns tied to foreign-policy statements, economic measures, and routine White House messaging. The August 25–September 1 window overlaps these established rhythms plus any mid-August catalysts still generating volume, which explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to the 200+ band while pricing lower ranges as less likely under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$10,520End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s Truth Social output has averaged 19–22 posts per day through 2026, with frequent clusters of originals, quotes, and reposts that push daily totals well above the mean during policy or news cycles. Recent activity includes a 46-post burst in two hours on August 26 and ongoing late-night and early-morning sessions, consistent with patterns tied to foreign-policy statements, economic measures, and routine White House messaging. The August 25–September 1 window overlaps these established rhythms plus any mid-August catalysts still generating volume, which explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to the 200+ band while pricing lower ranges as less likely under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$10,520End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump’s Truth Social output has averaged 19–22 posts per day through 2026, with frequent clusters of originals, quotes, and reposts that push daily totals well above the mean during policy or news cycles. Recent activity includes a 46-post burst in two hours on August 26 and ongoing late-night and early-morning sessions, consistent with patterns tied to foreign-policy statements, economic measures, and routine White House messaging. The August 25–September 1 window overlaps these established rhythms plus any mid-August catalysts still generating volume, which explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to the 200+ band while pricing lower ranges as less likely under current conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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