**Cam Schlittler leads the 2026 AL Cy Young market at 73.5% implied probability due to his breakout dominance as the Yankees' ace.** The 25-year-old right-hander holds the AL's lowest ERA (2.09) through late August, has surpassed 200 strikeouts, posted a 0.97 WHIP, and delivered consistent outings with one or fewer earned runs in the majority of his starts. Recent results, including a scoreless 5.2-inning, eight-strikeout effort against Boston on August 28 that lowered his ERA further, have reinforced his edge. Dylan Cease (18.8%) remains the primary challenger with AL-leading or near-leading strikeout totals and a sub-2.40 ERA, but trails in control and start-by-start reliability. Lower-priced names such as Sonny Gray and Drew Rasmussen post strong win totals or WHIP marks yet lag in overall volume and advanced metrics, leaving Schlittler's lead intact in trader consensus with roughly one month remaining.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCam Schlittler 73.0%
Dylan Cease 18.8%
Sonny Gray 2.0%
Logan Gilbert <1%
$1,272,051 Vol.
$1,272,051 Vol.
Tarik Skubal
<1%
Garrett Crochet
<1%
Jacob deGrom
<1%
Cole Ragans
<1%
Hunter Brown
<1%
Max Fried
<1%
Bryan Woo
<1%
Logan Gilbert
1%
Kyle Bradish
<1%
Joe Ryan
<1%
Ranger Suarez
<1%
Nathan Eovaldi
<1%
Dylan Cease
19%
George Kirby
<1%
Carlos Rodón
<1%
Kevin Gausman
<1%
MacKenzie Gore
<1%
Jose Soriano
<1%
Pablo Lopez
<1%
Gavin Williams
<1%
Bryce Miller
<1%
Cam Schlittler
73%
Gerrit Cole
<1%
Parker Messick
<1%
Drew Rasmussen
<1%
Sean Burke
<1%
Sonny Gray
2%
Cam Schlittler 73.0%
Dylan Cease 18.8%
Sonny Gray 2.0%
Logan Gilbert <1%
$1,272,051 Vol.
$1,272,051 Vol.
Tarik Skubal
<1%
Garrett Crochet
<1%
Jacob deGrom
<1%
Cole Ragans
<1%
Hunter Brown
<1%
Max Fried
<1%
Bryan Woo
<1%
Logan Gilbert
1%
Kyle Bradish
<1%
Joe Ryan
<1%
Ranger Suarez
<1%
Nathan Eovaldi
<1%
Dylan Cease
19%
George Kirby
<1%
Carlos Rodón
<1%
Kevin Gausman
<1%
MacKenzie Gore
<1%
Jose Soriano
<1%
Pablo Lopez
<1%
Gavin Williams
<1%
Bryce Miller
<1%
Cam Schlittler
73%
Gerrit Cole
<1%
Parker Messick
<1%
Drew Rasmussen
<1%
Sean Burke
<1%
Sonny Gray
2%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Cam Schlittler leads the 2026 AL Cy Young market at 73.5% implied probability due to his breakout dominance as the Yankees' ace.** The 25-year-old right-hander holds the AL's lowest ERA (2.09) through late August, has surpassed 200 strikeouts, posted a 0.97 WHIP, and delivered consistent outings with one or fewer earned runs in the majority of his starts. Recent results, including a scoreless 5.2-inning, eight-strikeout effort against Boston on August 28 that lowered his ERA further, have reinforced his edge. Dylan Cease (18.8%) remains the primary challenger with AL-leading or near-leading strikeout totals and a sub-2.40 ERA, but trails in control and start-by-start reliability. Lower-priced names such as Sonny Gray and Drew Rasmussen post strong win totals or WHIP marks yet lag in overall volume and advanced metrics, leaving Schlittler's lead intact in trader consensus with roughly one month remaining.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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