**Jacob Misiorowski of the Milwaukee Brewers holds an overwhelming 89% implied probability in the 2026 NL Cy Young market due to his historically dominant season through 25 starts.** The 24-year-old right-hander leads MLB with a 1.73 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, and 222 strikeouts across 151 innings while posting a 14-5 record. His fastball routinely exceeds 100 mph (peaking at 105.5 mph), and he has extended a streak of 25 consecutive starts allowing three or fewer earned runs—the longest such run since Dwight Gooden in 1985. Recent form reinforces this positioning. Misiorowski earned his 14th win on August 27 with six innings of two-run ball against the Mets and followed a quality start versus Atlanta by outdueling veteran Chris Sale. These outings extended his quality-start streak and kept his strikeout rate elite while limiting baserunners. **The Brewers’ strong NL Central lead provides additional context, though the award centers on individual performance.** Other listed candidates trail far behind in key metrics and market pricing, reflecting the gap in production. With roughly a month remaining, realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow: a significant late injury, an abrupt drop in velocity or command, or an unprecedented surge by a trailing pitcher. Trader consensus has priced in the low likelihood of such shifts based on Misiorowski’s consistent excellence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJacob Misiorowski 89.1%
Chris Sale 5.1%
Cristopher Sanchez 2.6%
Shohei Ohtani 1.6%
$1,089,180 Vol.
$1,089,180 Vol.
Jacob Misiorowski
89%
Chris Sale
5%
Cristopher Sanchez
3%
Shohei Ohtani
2%
Nolan McLean
1%
Paul Skenes
1%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
<1%
Zack Wheeler
<1%
Brandon Woodruff
<1%
Freddy Peralta
<1%
Eury Perez
<1%
Hunter Greene
<1%
Blake Snell
<1%
Logan Webb
<1%
Spencer Strider
<1%
Spencer Schwellenbach
<1%
Jesus Luzardo
<1%
Tyler Glasnow
<1%
Michael King
<1%
Nick Pivetta
<1%
Nick Lodolo
<1%
Mitch Keller
<1%
Mason Miller
<1%
Chase Burns
<1%
Jacob Misiorowski 89.1%
Chris Sale 5.1%
Cristopher Sanchez 2.6%
Shohei Ohtani 1.6%
$1,089,180 Vol.
$1,089,180 Vol.
Jacob Misiorowski
89%
Chris Sale
5%
Cristopher Sanchez
3%
Shohei Ohtani
2%
Nolan McLean
1%
Paul Skenes
1%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
<1%
Zack Wheeler
<1%
Brandon Woodruff
<1%
Freddy Peralta
<1%
Eury Perez
<1%
Hunter Greene
<1%
Blake Snell
<1%
Logan Webb
<1%
Spencer Strider
<1%
Spencer Schwellenbach
<1%
Jesus Luzardo
<1%
Tyler Glasnow
<1%
Michael King
<1%
Nick Pivetta
<1%
Nick Lodolo
<1%
Mitch Keller
<1%
Mason Miller
<1%
Chase Burns
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Jacob Misiorowski of the Milwaukee Brewers holds an overwhelming 89% implied probability in the 2026 NL Cy Young market due to his historically dominant season through 25 starts.** The 24-year-old right-hander leads MLB with a 1.73 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, and 222 strikeouts across 151 innings while posting a 14-5 record. His fastball routinely exceeds 100 mph (peaking at 105.5 mph), and he has extended a streak of 25 consecutive starts allowing three or fewer earned runs—the longest such run since Dwight Gooden in 1985. Recent form reinforces this positioning. Misiorowski earned his 14th win on August 27 with six innings of two-run ball against the Mets and followed a quality start versus Atlanta by outdueling veteran Chris Sale. These outings extended his quality-start streak and kept his strikeout rate elite while limiting baserunners. **The Brewers’ strong NL Central lead provides additional context, though the award centers on individual performance.** Other listed candidates trail far behind in key metrics and market pricing, reflecting the gap in production. With roughly a month remaining, realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow: a significant late injury, an abrupt drop in velocity or command, or an unprecedented surge by a trailing pitcher. Trader consensus has priced in the low likelihood of such shifts based on Misiorowski’s consistent excellence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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