Cam Schlittler holds the lead in the 2026 AL Cy Young race thanks to his AL-best 2.16 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, and 158 innings pitched across 27 starts for the Yankees, outpacing the field in traditional metrics while posting 193 strikeouts. Dylan Cease sits close behind at 34.3% implied probability with the AL lead in strikeouts (209) and a 2.37 ERA over 144⅓ innings for the Blue Jays, bolstered by recent strong outings including a near no-hitter against New York. Their direct August matchups have kept the contest razor-thin, with Schlittler’s edge in volume and efficiency reflecting trader consensus while Cease’s swing-and-miss ability sustains his contender status. Distant options like Drew Rasmussen and Sonny Gray trail significantly, requiring major late surges to factor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCam Schlittler 62.7%
Dylan Cease 34.3%
Sonny Gray <1%
Logan Gilbert <1%
$1,269,323 Vol.
$1,269,323 Vol.
Tarik Skubal
<1%
Garrett Crochet
<1%
Jacob deGrom
<1%
Cole Ragans
<1%
Hunter Brown
<1%
Max Fried
<1%
Bryan Woo
<1%
Logan Gilbert
1%
Kyle Bradish
<1%
Joe Ryan
<1%
Ranger Suarez
<1%
Nathan Eovaldi
<1%
Dylan Cease
34%
George Kirby
<1%
Carlos Rodón
<1%
Kevin Gausman
<1%
MacKenzie Gore
<1%
Jose Soriano
<1%
Pablo Lopez
<1%
Gavin Williams
<1%
Bryce Miller
<1%
Cam Schlittler
63%
Gerrit Cole
<1%
Parker Messick
<1%
Drew Rasmussen
<1%
Sean Burke
<1%
Sonny Gray
1%
Cam Schlittler 62.7%
Dylan Cease 34.3%
Sonny Gray <1%
Logan Gilbert <1%
$1,269,323 Vol.
$1,269,323 Vol.
Tarik Skubal
<1%
Garrett Crochet
<1%
Jacob deGrom
<1%
Cole Ragans
<1%
Hunter Brown
<1%
Max Fried
<1%
Bryan Woo
<1%
Logan Gilbert
1%
Kyle Bradish
<1%
Joe Ryan
<1%
Ranger Suarez
<1%
Nathan Eovaldi
<1%
Dylan Cease
34%
George Kirby
<1%
Carlos Rodón
<1%
Kevin Gausman
<1%
MacKenzie Gore
<1%
Jose Soriano
<1%
Pablo Lopez
<1%
Gavin Williams
<1%
Bryce Miller
<1%
Cam Schlittler
63%
Gerrit Cole
<1%
Parker Messick
<1%
Drew Rasmussen
<1%
Sean Burke
<1%
Sonny Gray
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Cam Schlittler holds the lead in the 2026 AL Cy Young race thanks to his AL-best 2.16 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, and 158 innings pitched across 27 starts for the Yankees, outpacing the field in traditional metrics while posting 193 strikeouts. Dylan Cease sits close behind at 34.3% implied probability with the AL lead in strikeouts (209) and a 2.37 ERA over 144⅓ innings for the Blue Jays, bolstered by recent strong outings including a near no-hitter against New York. Their direct August matchups have kept the contest razor-thin, with Schlittler’s edge in volume and efficiency reflecting trader consensus while Cease’s swing-and-miss ability sustains his contender status. Distant options like Drew Rasmussen and Sonny Gray trail significantly, requiring major late surges to factor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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