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icon for MLB: 2026 NL MVP
Sports·Awards

MLB: 2026 NL MVP

icon for MLB: 2026 NL MVP
Sports·Awards

MLB: 2026 NL MVP

Pete Crow-Armstrong 54.6%

Shohei Ohtani 38%

Juan Soto <1%

Fernando Tatis Jr. <1%

Polymarket

$1,283,721 Vol.

Pete Crow-Armstrong 54.6%

Shohei Ohtani 38%

Juan Soto <1%

Fernando Tatis Jr. <1%

Polymarket

$1,283,721 Vol.

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$609,542 Vol.

55%

Shohei Ohtani

$95,986 Vol.

38%

Juan Soto

$3,835 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$584 Vol.

<1%

Mookie Betts

$279,195 Vol.

<1%

Bryce Harper

$2,027 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Tucker

$555 Vol.

<1%

Elly De La Cruz

$278,864 Vol.

<1%

Francisco Lindor

$832 Vol.

<1%

Ronald Acuña Jr.

$663 Vol.

<1%

Andy Pages

$488 Vol.

<1%

Corbin Carroll

$3,211 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Schwarber

$3,994 Vol.

<1%

James Wood

$601 Vol.

<1%

Jacob Misiorowski

$643 Vol.

<1%

Jordan Walker

$50 Vol.

<1%

Otto Lopez

$975 Vol.

<1%

Matt Olson

$1,677 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Crow-Armstrong has surged to a clear lead in the 2026 NL MVP race on the strength of his all-around dominance for the Cubs, topping leaderboards in WAR, slugging, and defensive metrics while posting a .276/.375/.550 line with 33 home runs, 32 stolen bases, and elite center-field play that leads MLB in outs above average. Shohei Ohtani, the prior consensus favorite seeking a fourth straight award, remains close behind thanks to comparable offensive production but has seen his two-way value limited by a knee injury that sidelined him from the mound since early July. Recent expert polls reflect the shift, with Crow-Armstrong earning the majority of first-place votes as Ohtani’s pitching return timeline stays uncertain heading into September.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,283,721
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Crow-Armstrong has surged to a clear lead in the 2026 NL MVP race on the strength of his all-around dominance for the Cubs, topping leaderboards in WAR, slugging, and defensive metrics while posting a .276/.375/.550 line with 33 home runs, 32 stolen bases, and elite center-field play that leads MLB in outs above average. Shohei Ohtani, the prior consensus favorite seeking a fourth straight award, remains close behind thanks to comparable offensive production but has seen his two-way value limited by a knee injury that sidelined him from the mound since early July. Recent expert polls reflect the shift, with Crow-Armstrong earning the majority of first-place votes as Ohtani’s pitching return timeline stays uncertain heading into September.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,283,721
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 NL MVP" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pete Crow-Armstrong" at 55%, followed by "Shohei Ohtani" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 NL MVP" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 NL MVP," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 NL MVP" is "Pete Crow-Armstrong" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shohei Ohtani" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 NL MVP" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.